-Caveat Lector-

Prodi Warns of EU Deadlock.

By Ambrose Evans-Pritchard in Brussels and George Jones

Romano Prodi:
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/graphics/00/12/1/weu01.jpeg
said it was 'absolutely necessary'
for the major powers to cede ground
before enlargement could go ahead
successfully

DEADLOCK on major issues of policy threatens the signing of a new EU treaty
at next week's Nice summit, Romano Prodi, the president of the European
Commission, said yesterday.

The stumbling block is member states' refusal to give up their national
veto. His gloomy assessment reflected growing frustration in Brussels at the
way Britain and other leading countries are holding out against substantial
moves to more qualified majority voting.

Mr Prodi said that EU states had made scant progress on the "hot issue": the
abolition of the national veto in the areas of taxation, social security,
border controls, external trade and the EU budget.

Agreement was needed so that the EU's decision-making machinery could still
function in an enlarged union of 25 or even 30 states. Asked to gauge the
risk of breakdown, he said: "Let's say half and half, if you want to put a
figure on it."

EU delegations have been told that the summit, which opens next Thursday,
could drag on through the weekend because of arguments over the veto.
Joschka Fischer, the German foreign minister, added a warning that collapse
could put further pressure on the struggling euro.

Mr Prodi said he hoped the summit would not degenerate like the United
Nations climate talks in The Hague, which collapsed in the early hours last
weekend after John Prescott fell out with his French counterpart, Dominique
Voynet. Mr Prodi said: "This time, we have had months and months of
negotiation. We have examined every single detail."

Most of the leading EU states are fighting to hold on to the veto in one
area or another. The French are blocking moves to qualified majority voting
on foreign trade in the service sector, fearing that French culture would be
swamped by Hollywood films.

Michel Barnier, the commissioner in charge of the treaty negotiations, said
that this would paralyse the EU's negotiating position in the next round of
World Trade Organisation talks, which will focus on the liberalisation of
services.

He said: "Our trading partners, or rivals, are delighted. If you ask the
Americans or the Japanese, they say go ahead, make sure you keep your veto
rights in Europe, with 30 countries, because they know it is a source of
collective impotence."

Spain is blocking qualified majority voting on regional aid, fearing that it
would lose billions in subsidies. The Germans are worried about asylum and
immigration, while the British Government has a series of "red lines",
stemming from the Labour manifesto in 1997, covering tax, social security,
immigration and defence.

Britain has indicated that it is prepared to accept majority voting on about
17 areas of EU decision-making when it is in the country's interest. That is
about a third of the areas proposed by the draft treaty.

Mr Prodi said it was "absolutely necessary" for the major powers to cede
ground before enlargement could go ahead successfully. He said: "The
mathematics are beyond doubt: in a union of 27 or more member states, the
unanimity requirement will quite simply paralyse progress in every area
where it is maintained."

The European Parliament has said that it would not endorse the treaty unless
there was a real breakthrough on reform. Mr Prodi accepted that some key
issues would have to wait until after Nice, including "the incorporation of
the charter of fundamental rights into the community legal order".

This comment will irritate the British Government, which insists that the
charter is merely a showcase of rights that would never have legal status.
It has said that it would never allow the European Court of Justice to
become the arbiter of Britons' rights.

The prospects for the summit were the main topic Tony Blair and President
Chirac of France discussed over dinner at the Prime Minister's Sedgefield
constituency last night. Mr Blair made clear that Britain would not back
down on maintaining the veto on tax, social security and border controls -
areas vital to Britain's national identity.

Robin Cook, the Foreign Secretary, indicated earlier that the arguments over
the veto could result in a failure at Nice. He said: "The great majority of
the 50 points are not going to be agreed at Nice, because one country or
another actually objects to pretty well all of the list currently on the
presidency's shopping list. This includes France, which objects to as many
as we do."

William Hague, the Conservative leader, said that Mr Blair would have quite
a lot of "mending of fences" to do at his talks with Mr Chirac after Mr
Prescott's run-in with the French environment minister at the climate
summit.

He said: "John Prescott clearly lost his cool and created quite a diplomatic
incident. I hope we are not going to see more of the rights and powers of
the country given away because Mr Prescott got into such a mess at the
weekend."

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