-Caveat Lector-
"...the United States could reduce the chances of such devastating--and
potentially catastrophic--terrorist attacks by adopting a policy of
military restraint overseas."
===============
http://www.cato.org/dispatch/12-18-00d.html
More Terrorism in America's Future?
According toThe Washington Post,
<http://washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/articles/A20048-2000Dec17.html>a new
global threat assessment by the National Intelligence Council, scheduled
for release today, concludes that terrorist attacks against the United
States through 2015 "will become increasingly sophisticated and designed to
achieve mass casualties. We expect the trend toward greater lethality . .
. to continue."
The Cato Institute recently hosted the policy forum "How Should the United
States Respond
to Terrorism?." <http://www.cato.org/events/001127pf.html> Video of the
event can be seen on the Cato Web site.
In "Does U.S. Intervention Overseas Breed Terrorism?"
<http://www.cato.org/pubs/fpbriefs/fpb-050es.html> Director of Defense
Policy Studies
Ivan Eland writes that there may be too much focus on deterring terrorism
rather than
understanding what motivates it. He concludes that a strong correlation
exists between U.S.
involvement in international situations and an increase in terrorist
attacks against the United
States.
http://www.cato.org/pubs/fpbriefs/fpb-050es.html
Cato Foreign Policy Briefing No. 50
December 17, 1998
DOES U.S. INTERVENTION OVERSEAS BREED TERRORISM?
The Historical Record
by Ivan Eland
Ivan Eland is director of defense policy studies at the Cato Institute.
Executive Summary
According to Secretary of State Madeleine Albright, terrorism is the most
important threat the United States and the world face as the 21st century
begins. High-level U.S. officials have acknowledged that terrorists are now
more likely to be able to obtain and use nuclear, chemical, and biological
weapons than ever before.
Yet most attention has been focused on combating terrorism by deterring and
disrupting it beforehand and retaliating against it after the fact. Less
attention has been paid to what motivates terrorists to launch attacks.
According to the Pentagon's Defense Science Board, a strong correlation
exists between U.S. involvement in international situations and an increase
in terrorist attacks against the United States. President Clinton has also
acknowledged that link. The board, however, has provided no empirical data
to support its conclusion. This paper fills that gap by citing many
examples of terrorist attacks on the United States in retaliation for U.S.
intervention overseas. The numerous incidents cataloged suggest that the
United States could reduce the chances of such devastating--and potentially
catastrophic--terrorist attacks by adopting a policy of military restraint
overseas.
Text of Foreign Policy Brief No. 50 (PDF, 24 pgs, 93k)
http://www.cato.org/pubs/fpbriefs/fpb50.pdf
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