-Caveat Lector-

<http://www.eatthestate.org/05-08/DubyaProspects.htm>
December 20, 2000

The Dubya Prospects
by Geov Parrish

It's our worst nightmare: Clarence Thomas chose the President. Al
Gore's past enthusiasm for reactionary Supreme Court justices, so
assiduously ignored by liberals, came back to haunt him.

It was remarkable, actually, that Gore got as far as he did in his
effort to have legally cast votes actually counted. George W. Bush,
by happy circumstance, had the Florida game rigged in his favor
nearly every step of the way: with his brother as governor, his state
co-chair (and reported secret lover, according to CounterPunch) as
Secretary of State, and a Republican majority in the state
legislature. And then there was the Supreme Court--where family
members of both Scalia and Thomas were working for the Bush campaign,
and where Chief Justice Rehnquist was accused by several witnesses in
1964 of intimidating and preventing minorities from voting, as a poll-
watcher in a South Phoenix precinct. All three should have recused
themselves; if any one of them had, the Florida Supreme Court would
have been upheld on a 4-4 decision, and Gore would be President. A
Miami Herald analysis shows that Gore won the state by about 20,000
votes--without even counting the Buchanan votes in Palm Beach County,
or the minorities prevented from voting in the first place.

In the end, the five Republican-appointed U.S. Supreme Court justices
decided that the state legislature--not the voters of Florida--had
the sole right to pick the President, and that the Florida Supreme
Court had erred because it didn't change the law when it was legally
prohibited from doing so. They threw out a standard for vote-counting
also used in 33 other states, without questioning the votes in those
states. It's a shocking decision, made a bit more bearable only
because it's such a bizarre case that it's not likely to set a
precedent. But the justices went out of their way, inventing case law
and renouncing 200 years of conservative adherence to the principles
of federalism, to put Bush in office. The odds that five Republican
justices would just happen to find for their guy, and four Democratic
justices would just happen to dissent for their guy, are
astronomical; it had nothing to do with law, and everything to do
with power.

But that, apparently, is history. What was at stake with this semi
sanitized coup d'etat, anyway?

Not much, at the macro policy level. We already knew that we were
going to get neoliberalism, military interventions, Star Wars,
conservative court appointments, environmental degradation, stagnant
wages, more prisons, and so forth, no matter who won; the differences
were a matter of degree. Most of Bush's advisors are the same
mandarins who littered the Reagan/Bush Sr. landscape for 12 years,
and they are genuinely scary people. Of course, so were Madeleine
Albright, Janet Reno, and Ron Brown. But for Bush's entourage,
"sleazeball" isn't just a resume enhancer; it's a job requirement.
The same goes for Bush's Cabinet picks; even the Democrats being
mentioned are, in a word, awful. (Almost the only solace is that
Bush's election probably lessens the chance of Israeli/Palestinian
war.)

Bush's impact will be more cultural than political: the revenge of
the privileged WASP. Bush isn't dangerous because he's a moron (he's
not, incidentally); it's because he's no empath. How could he be,
when he's never had to work an honest day in his life? Bill Clinton's
genius was in doing all the wrong things while making his victims
feel good about it. That's over.

We already had these people for 12 years, but we weren't the world's
sole superpower then. Get ready for our bipartisan ruling classes--
the Democrats, remember, have been busy electing conservative
millionaires like Cantwell for the past four years--to issue one
triumphant, snarling "Fuck you" to the world's poor.

The next four years won't be pretty. The NASDAQ collapse was more
than a blip; it was a presage, one of many, of an inevitable end to
Wall Street's ever-expanding economic party. Workers who wondered why
their wages stalled during good times will find big business--now
accustomed to hefty profits-- responding by slashing the work force,
and by trying to raid Social Security. Social safety nets that didn't
seem important in the '90s will be gone when they're needed. We'll
miss all those infrastructure investments we didn't make when we
could afford them.

The media, which generally rooted for Gore, likes to underestimate
George W. Bush. The hills are alive with the sound of imperial
pundits urging us to "heal" (I wasn't aware I was sick), horrified by
the "lack of a mandate" (read: stolen election), and glumly fearing
that Bush will be weak and Congress won't do much. We should be so
lucky. Class trumps party. The two parties may now hate each other
more than ever, but if the economy falters, Bush's desire to cut
taxes and shovel still more money to the wealthy will find a
receptive audience amongst the alarmed millionaires in Congress. And
if taxes aren't slashed, it'll be because the federal surplus will
instead be used to pay down the national debt--fattening the banks
instead. Either way, we lose.

Democrats have fully bought into what Bush Sr. once famously called
"voodoo economics." After 20 years of conservative court
appointments, gutted government programs, environmental exploitation,
weapon boondoggles and other corporate welfare, expanding gaps
between haves and have-nots, and expanding prisons to house the
latter, it won't take too much more to inflict some truly irrevocable
damage on our society. Don't count on the Democrats to try to prevent
it. They'll be busy claiming credit.

For 20 years, beginning with Reagan's tax cuts, the wealthy have been
waging class war on everyone else in America. Now, after 20 years of
steady gains under Reagan, Bush Sr., and Clinton/Gore, and with
George W. Bush illegally installed as President, that war is finally
likely to become obvious to most of its victims over the next four
years. That's actually cheerier news than if Gore had won out, and
apologists for their own doom like the AFL-CIO and the Sierra Club
had continued to lick the boots of power like some pathetic abused
dog.

With the Democrats hopelessly corrupted, and electoral alternatives
like the Greens or Labor Party a long ways away under the best of
scenarios, the only possible counter-balance at hand is the
encouraging, global growth of civil society institutions, through
which people have been demanding the public policy values that profit-
driven capitalism alone can never deliver.

Governments under global capitalism respond almost entirely to the
needs of corporations. Getting those governments, including our own,
to also become responsive to the demands of civil society will be the
great challenge facing us during the King George II years. Class war
is happening not just under George W. Bush, but all over the world,
and together the attackees are very, very strong.

Organize, organize, organize.

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