-Caveat Lector-

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On Mon, 1 Jan 2001 20:31:17 -0600 (CST) MichaelP <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:

 Yesterday I read this piece about aluminum smelters on the Northwest.

Seems they made a deal with Bonneville Power by which they were guaranteed

power at preferential rates, and also allowed to "sell" what they don't

use on the open power market.



 Seems they've decided to profit from the current power shortage by

closing down their plants and selling the power they don't use at a huge

mark-up.



  Last night I resolved to try something similar. By burning candles, I

both warmed the house but saved huge amounts of electricity. What I saved

is now on sale at open market prices - I plan to enjoy the proceeds.

Havn't yet thought out what the free market will do to the price of

candles.



Cheers

MichaelP

===================

http://www.nationalpost.com/search/story.html?f=/stories/20001226/417390.html


The Financial Post

December 26, 2000

By Murray Dobbin


The energy crisis: Ideology trumps common sense


There is a delicious free trade irony in the energy deregulation fiascos

unfolding in California and Alberta - especially in the stunned disbelief

coming from business. Here we have Jayson Myers, chief economist for the

Canadian Manufacturers and Exporters Association (CMEA) on Alberta's

sky-rocketing natural gas prices: "I think it's a major crisis. If

companies have to cut costs, there will be an impact on their employment."


Earth to Mr Myers: What did you think the FTA was about?


The Canada-US free trade agreement (FTA) handed the United States

guaranteed access to Canadian oil and gas. During the 1988 election the

CMEA was one of the most aggressive promoters of the agreement  -- a deal

which virtually wrote in stone that Canadian prices for natural gas would

be determined by peak American demand.


But, of course, it doesn't stop there -- it's the nature of ideology that

the more you swallow the hungrier you get. Having given the US guaranteed

access to our oil and gas (we can't reduce exports to increase domestic

supply or use differential pricing) the Canadian government and the

provinces are hell bent on giving up all regulatory influence over

electricity prices through massive deregulation.


In California, the North American pioneer in electricity deregulation,

prices have actually tripled in many areas and doubled in most, prompting

the politicians to scamble for their political lives and put a cap on

prices. This desperate effort to shut the barn door after the horses have

escaped has brought once powerful corporations to the brink of bankruptcy:

Pacific Gas and Electric and Edison face the prospect of eating $8 billion

in energy costs they can't pass on to consumers.


Kaiser Aluminum has shut its two US smelters because they can make more

money by selling their electricity, and several fertilizer companies have

shut down plants. Major shortages of those products are predicted for next

year.


Ralph Klein is having night sweats over his political future, too, as his

deregulation experiment careens out of control. The Alberta Power Pool

auction of electricity in early December pushed generation prices from $40

per megawatt hour to more than $130. The Industrial Power Consumers

Association are in full panic mode: "For some of my members it is

catastrophic," said president  Dan Macnamara. "These new price levels are

downright scary."


Ontario's move to a deregulated market and the dismantling of Ontario

Hydro has prompted power generators and marketers to talk openly about

getting substantially higher prices in adjacent American jurisdictions.

This will inevitably result in higher prices in Ontario.


It is a neo-liberal article of faith that deregulation increases "choice"

and reduces prices. In practice it is doing neither, but when the medicine

fails, the prescription is to give even stronger medicine.


Canadian governments are thus pursuing even more deregulation through more

trade deals. First, there is the Agreement on Internal Trade (AIT), and

then there is the services negotiations at the WTO which would make global

energy deregulation literally irreversible.


AIT negotiators will present provincial trade ministers with an energy

chapter in February next year. If agreed to, it will most likely to lead

to what is called "retail wheeling" - in effect creating electricity spot

markets in every province and a virtual futures' market for  electricity

speculators. This is a formula for wild price volatility and would make

the goal of long term price stability virtually unachievable.


And what the AIT is hinting at, the WTO agreement on services - the GATS -

will make irreversible. The US released its services negotiating position

on energy on December 21st.  It is clear that the Americans intend to

press with all their might for new WTO rules over energy. They are

proposing: "Non-discriminatory third-party access to and interconnection

with energy networks and grids, where they are dominated by government

entities or dominant suppliers." In other words, the California model

applied worldwide.


This little holiday announcement is like the Grinch who stole Christmas

for hard-pressed Californians threatened with the potential collapse of

their entire electrical system. Yet with no appreciation of the irony

involved, the US claims that this new energy regime will make energy

supplies "reliable" and "...benefit residential consumers and social

services, as well as employment .."


Canada is apparently supporting the US position.


Electricity and gas are not just products like toasters and light bulbs.

They are critical elements in the functioning of the economy. If you list

all the factors that contribute to competitiveness, and to economic

stability, predictable energy prices rank high on the list. Actively

pursuing policies that create price volatility is ideology run amok.

Imagine interest rates being decided not by the Bank of Canada, but by

picking the rate from a hat every two weeks.


The CMEA's Mr. Myers told me he wasn't familiar with the GATS energy

negotiations. Maybe he should pick up the phone and call Canada's

negotiators -- before it's too late.
=============================================

 Kissinger did it. 1974 oil shortage.
Date: Mon, 15 Jan 2001 20:43:29 -0500
From: Nurev Ind Research

Kissinger was a Rockerfeller protege. His career was launched and pushed
forward by Nelson first, and then by David after Nelson screwed himself to
death with a woman * who was not (Happy) his wife.*

The Rockerfellers are in the oil business.

Nurev

====================================
Subject:
           [Spy News] Yamani says US oil companies responsible for 1974 oil
           price hike
     Date:
           Tue, 16 Jan 2001

 From Robin Ramsay

Buried in The Observer Business Section (London), 14 January, p7,  was a
long interview with Sheikh Yamani, Saudi Oil Minister 1962-86. In that was
the following.

Of the 1974 'oil price hike' he said:
"I am 100% certain sure that the Americans were behind the increase in the
price of il. The oil companies were in real trouble at tht time, they had
bowwowed a lot of money and they needed a high oil price to save them"'

'He says he was convinced of this by the attitude of the Shah of Iran, who
in one crucial day in 1974 moved from the Saudi view, that a hike would be
dangerous to OPEC, because ti would alienate the US, to advocate higher
prices.
  Yamani: "King Faisal sent me to the Shah of Iran who said, 'Why are you
against the increase in the price of oil? That is what they want.  Ask Henry
Kissinger - he is the one who wants a higher price.' "
   'Yamani contends that proof of his long-held belief has recently emerged
in the minutes of a secret meeting on a Swedish island where UK and US
officials determined to orchestrate a 400% increase in the oil price.'

==============================================

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