-Caveat Lector-

Subject: [Article from AFP re: Glaciers Dissapearing Fast


> Andes glaciers disappearing fast, scientists say
>
> PARIS (AFP) - Small glaciers in the tropical Andes may
have disappeared
> 15 years from now, destroyed by the more frequent
occurrence of the El
> Nino climate pattern, French and South American scientists
warn.
>
> Tests conducted on two glaciers in Bolivia and Ecuador
suggests that
> these unique phenomena of tropical latitudes may have
melted entirely by
> 2015, the researchers say.
>
> "Their shrinkage rate has accelerated markedly over the
past 10 or so
> years. If the ice recession continues at the same pace,
their survival
> will be jeopardised even in the short term," they said in
a statement
> issued Wednesday.
>
> The researchers are from France's Institute for
Development Research
> (IRD), Bolivia's Institute of Hydraulics and Hydrology
(IHH) and
> Ecuador's National Institute for Meteology and Hydrology
(INAMHI).
>
> Their findings mirror a warning expected to be made on
Monday next week
> by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC),
the top panel
> of climatologists advising the United Nations.
>
> Their report is expected to say that since the late 1960s,
global snow
> cover has decreased by about 10 percent and mountain
glaciers in
> non-polar regions are in "widespread retreat" as a result
of global
> warming.
>
> The latest research, however, pins the threat to the
Andean glaciers
> more specifically -- to a greater frequency of the highly
damaging El
> Nino pattern, which has caused a dramatic fall in local
rainfall.
>
> The two glaciers studied, Antizana in Ecuador and
Chacaltaya in Bolivia,
> are each less than a square kilometer (half an acre) in
area, located at
> an altitude of more than 5,000 metres (16,250 feet).
>
> They suffered their worst shrinkage during the El Ninos
that occurred in
> 1991-1992, 1994-1996 and 1997-1998, retreating at up to
1.4 metres (4.5
> feet) per year.
>
> When El Nino went into reverse, in 1999 and 2000, the
glaciers either
> stabilised or grew, they note.
>
> El Nino, a massive displacement of water in the Pacific
Ocean, brings
> higher surface temperatures off the coast of South America
and cooler
> waters around Australia and New Zealand.
>
> The phenomenon, blamed for causing droughts, floods,
frosts and forest
> fires around the world in regions as far apart as south
Asia and the
> Horn of Africa, occurs at intervals of between two and 10
years.
>
> The average return is four and a half years, but the
frequency has
> increased sharply over the past two decades.
>
> Climatologists suggest the cause for this higher frequency
is global
> warming, which creates a big buildup of warm water in the
western
> Pacific that disrupts traditional current and rainfall
patterns.
>
> Global warming is the term describing progressively higher
atmospheric
> temperatures caused by the release of carbon dioxide gas,
mainly from
> burning oil, gas and coal.
>
> These have a "greenhouse effect" of hanging invisibly in
the lower
> atmosphere, which then stores up the heat from the Sun.
>
>

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