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Military Support Tepid for NMD
NewsMax.com Wires
Friday, March 2, 2001
WASHINGTON (UPI) – With as much as $60 billion on the line and more immediate
threats facing them, a national missile defense (NMD) system is a hard pill
for many in the military to swallow. But support has increased recently.
"The chiefs question putting additional billions of taxpayers' dollars into
fielding a system now that does not work or has not proven itself," said
Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff Gen. Henry Shelton in 1999 in a
February interview with Sea Power magazine.

The military chiefs have testified numerous times that they would welcome a
robust NMD program – but only if the money to pay for it is added to their
budget. If they need to shift funding from what they consider more pressing
needs, they are reluctant to endorse the system.

The Pentagon is working on a limited NMD system designed to intercept and
destroy two dozen enemy warheads as they travel through outer space. The
system will cost between $30 billion and $60 billion over 20 years. It
includes giant radar systems and 100 interceptor missiles, in addition to new
satellites and surveillance systems.

But the technological path so far has been a rocky one. Only the first of
three $100 million intercept attempts was successful, convincing
then-President Bill Clinton last fall to defer the decision to deploy the
system to the Bush administration. The next intercept test is scheduled for
early this summer.

"As I have testified before, the NMD program continues to be high-risk. The
schedule is compressed, and a significant setback in one element can delay
the entire program," said Lt. Gen. Ronald Kadish, director of the Ballistic
Missile Defense Organization, in congressional testimony last year.

"I would support building it if the threat warranted it, and not just if it
is feasible. It has to be practical too. 'Feasible' means that you would put
a heck of a lot of money against something just to get it up there.
'Practical' means that we could get it up without breaking the bank," Air
Force Chief of Staff General Michael Ryan said in 1998, with the endorsement
of the Navy and Marine Corps chiefs.

Technical and affordability problems are not the only ones NMD faces. It also
poses considerable diplomatic and political challenges.

As Clinton's deployment decision loomed last year, a group of national
security experts – including former Chairmen of the Joint Chiefs Gen. John
Shalikashvili and former Vice Chairmen Adm. William Owens – urged a delay.
They reasoned that until the effect on international arms control treaties
could be assessed, NMD might make the world more dangerous rather than less
dangerous. China and Russia have warned NMD could trigger a global arms race,
putting even more stress on the military.

For years the military chiefs have told Congress that theater missile defense
– systems such as the Patriot, designed to protect troops on the battlefield
from widely available short-range missiles – outranks a national missile
defense on their priority list.

Increasing Support Recently

But in the last year, top military officers have publicly shifted their view
of the threat posed by long-range missiles to the United States, throwing
their support behind the notion that the country's civilian population faces
a threat nearly as menacing as that faced by soldiers on the battlefield.

"I would simply like to underscore the secretary's comments about missile
threats that American faces," Shelton said last year.

It was a subtle but significant endorsement for then-Defense Secretary
William Cohen's plan to develop a missile defense system to meet the threat
posed by rogue nations that have or are developing long-range missiles, such
as Iran, Iraq and North Korea.

What largely turned the tide in the Clinton administration and in Congress
was a report by a commission headed by Donald Rumsfeld – now defense
secretary under President Bush. The commission included Rumsfeld's probable
deputy defense secretary, Paul D. Wolfowitz.

That report asserted it would take a determined nation only five years to
develop a long-range missile.

"The newer ballistic missile-equipped nations' capabilities will not match
those of U.S. systems for accuracy or reliability. However, they would be
able to inflict major destruction on the United States within about five
years of a decision to acquire such a capability," stated the report.

Moreover, the report asserted the United States "might well have little or no
warning before operational deployment" of a missile by Iran, Iraq, North
Korea or another potentially hostile state.

Bush has stated his intention to deploy a missile defense system that could
protect not only the United States, but also its allies and friends –
presumably NATO countries and Israel.

Bush has not defined the system nor said how much he is prepared to add to
the Pentagon budget – if at all – to pay for it.

Copyright 2001 by United Press International. All rights reserved.



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