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Peace at any cost is a Prelude to War!

US shares secrets to stop Mir disaster


Tony Allen-Mills, Cheyenne Mountain, Colorado





Scientists raise star wars doubts
INSIDE a granite bunker 2,000ft deep in the Rocky Mountains, Major Scott
Edwards and his number-crunching crew of military rocket scientists are
preparing for a Russian funeral.

In a startling epilogue to four decades of cold-war space-racing, some of
America's most sophisticated and sensitive military expertise is being placed
in the hands of Russian scientists struggling to control the death throes of
the Mir space station, which is about to become the largest man-made orbiter
ever to fall back to Earth.

In the bomb-proof, quake-proof underground complex that houses the American
military's high-tech missile warning and space command centres, American
computers are maintaining a round-the-clock watch on a 140-tonne lump of
Russian space junk that could plunge through the atmosphere towards the South
Pacific as early as next Sunday.

The long-delayed demise of a 15-year-old prestige Russian project is posing
unusual problems for the hard-pressed Moscow scientists fighting to steer
their notoriously unstable craft to a safe re-entry position. It also
represents a dilemma for American military observers, who are keen to help in
a unique technological challenge, but who are also wary of the legal and
political fallout should Mir's de-orbit go horribly wrong.

"This isn't an exact science, it's very much an art form," said Colonel Norm
Black of the US Space Command, as he described the intricate process of
controlling Mir's final fiery plunge from an orbit 155 miles above Earth.

Moscow's mission control is hoping for a trouble-free Pacific splashdown
somewhere between Australia and Chile - but it took out a $200m (£136m)
insurance policy in case Mir lives up to its reputation for disastrous
malfunction.

Edwards likened the re-entry process to skimming a pebble on a pond: "You
can't predict exactly where it is going to land." Complicating what has
become an otherwise familiar space routine is the sheer volume of Russian
debris that is likely to survive the heat of Mir's re-entry: up to 25 tonnes
of nuts, bolts, canisters and assorted metal parts of the dilapidated space
station are likely to enter the atmosphere.

The need to manage a controlled descent that reduces the risk of human
populations being pelted with dented hardware has produced the rare spectacle
of America's most formidable cold-war-era defence citadel lending its global
surveillance abilities to a project run by the former enemy.

In one bunker module buried in Cheyenne Mountain last week, Norad air defence
controllers were monitoring the global network of satellites and radars that
warn of ballistic missile attack. A short walk away through the heavily
insulated command complex, the same defensive network - including input from
the Fylingdales radar site in Britain - was providing Edwards's crew with
tracking and other scientific data on the 8,300 man-made objects now orbiting
Earth.

Anything relevant to Mir's re-entry - from potentially disruptive solar
activity and electro-magnetic fluctuation to other bits of junk that may turn
up in the dying space station's path - was being forwarded to Nasa, the
American space agency that deals directly with Moscow, to be passed on to Mir
controllers.

"We are filling in the gaps of their own coverage," Black said. "The
preponderance of their [radar] sensors is on Russian soil, and not spread
across the world like ours."

While collaboration between Russian and American space agencies has been
going on for decades, the US military's willingness to publicise the
involvement of its most heavily protected command facility in a Russian space
project signals a fast-changing role for a nuclear bunker that became a
monument to cold-war hostility.

When the so-called "hardened" facilities at Cheyenne Mountain were conceived
in the 1950s, they were designed to withstand a direct hit by an atomic bomb
of between one and 30 megatons. American officials admit that direct hits by
much more powerful modern ballistic missiles would nowadays "turn Cheyenne
Mountain into Cheyenne valley". Yet such is the threat of a lower-scale
terrorist assault that Cheyenne's tunnels have retained their value as
America's most secure military stronghold.

Inside the mountain last week there was a quiet satisfaction that American
technology was being employed in "making the Russians' process easier for
them", as one officer put it.

Officers were also keen to emphasise that "Russia has accepted sole legal
responsibility" for Mir's descent. "Everyone here has the highest confidence
the Russians will do what they say they can do," Black said carefully. Any
lawsuits arising from Mir damage should not be sent to Colorado.

Whether lawsuits will be necessary remains a question as murky as Mir's final
flight path. Last Wednesday Russian officials announced that the space
station would crash on March 20; by Friday they were saying it was more
likely to be March 18.

Australian officials estimated last week there was a one in 5,000 chance that
a lump the size of a car might hit their country. In Colorado, Black said it
would be easier to win the California lottery than be hit by a piece of space
junk.

























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