-Caveat Lector-

http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/articles/A1567-2001Mar27.html

Gun Control Movement Changes Approach

By Dan Eggen and Juliet Eilperin
Washington Post Staff Writers
Wednesday, March 28, 2001; Page A12

Twenty years after James Brady was shot in the attempted assassination of President
Ronald Reagan, the modern gun control
movement spearheaded by him and his wife, Sarah, is in retreat.

Amid gloomy developments for advocates of gun restrictions, the Bradys' group,
Handgun Control Inc., and its allies have
lowered their expectations for Washington. They have turned instead to states
and cities considered more receptive to stronger
regulation of handguns.

They are also scrambling to stop or rescind laws backed by the National Rifle
Association and other pro-gun groups at the
state and local levels, including those making it easier to carry concealed weapons.

The shift comes less than a year after gun control advocates seemed to be gaining
momentum with the heralded Million Mom
March and a landmark agreement on safety standards with gunmaker Smith & Wesson.

But Republicans now in command at the White House and in Congress generally oppose
new gun control measures. The
agreement with Smith & Wesson has effectively fallen apart in the face of boycotts
by angry gun dealers and customers that
have hurt the company.

As for the Million Mom March, the organization just laid off 30 of its 35 employees.
The group's protests on this Mother's Day
will be centered in state capitals instead of on the Mall in Washington.

"Everybody knows we're not likely to have big successes at the federal level,"
said Kristen Rand, legislative director of the
Violence Policy Center, commonly viewed as one of the most aggressive anti-gun
groups. "The lay of the land today is, if we
don't lose anything on the federal level, we're in good shape, and hopefully
we'll make some strides in some key states while
we're at it.. We have to be realistic."

The climate is a marked departure from the Clinton years, which brought a federal
ban on assault weapons and enactment of
background checks for handgun purchases as part of the long-sought Brady law.

This year, however, the NRA and other gun lobbyists say they are confident they
can again derail proposals for similar
background checks at gun shows. In addition, the groups hope the Bush administration
will support a nationwide ban on state
and municipal lawsuits against gun manufacturers -- similar to legislation signed
by Bush when he was governor of Texas.

"Right now, the pendulum might have swung back in our direction," said James
Jay Baker, chief lobbyist for the NRA. "The
Democratic leadership decided they were going to make this a national issue,
and they took it too far. . . . I'm hopeful that we
will gain some ground."

Sarah Brady, who will preside at a news conference today commemorating her group's
victories over the last 20 years, said
she hasn't given up on federal legislation. James Brady was critically wounded
in the attempt on Reagan's life on March 30,
1981.

"Given the leadership in the House and the Senate and the White House, it is
not the easiest place right now in Washington,"
Sarah Brady said yesterday. "Certainly it's going to be an uphill battle. But
we've had a lot of uphill battles, and that's generally
when we've been able to do our very best."

Some of the hottest battles are being waged in the states.

New York recently adopted a gun tracking system and background checks at gun
shows, and lawmakers in California, Illinois,
Iowa, Rhode Island and other states are debating similar new regulations. The
NRA is reviving a proposal in Missouri to allow
easier access to concealed weapons permits, and gun control advocates are mounting
a referendum drive in Michigan to undo a
similar law there.

The Center to Prevent Handgun Violence, an arm of Brady's group, launched a drive
this month to persuade 20 states to follow
the lead of the Massachusetts attorney general, who has enacted sweeping new
restrictions on firearms under the auspices of
the state's consumer protection laws.

"There are many opportunities for us in the states," said Donna Dees-Thomases,
founder of the Million Mom March. "If they
want to throw up their hands in Congress, so be it. We've got other plans as
well."

The hard times can be traced to the aftermath of the April 1999 killings at Columbine
High School, when gun control advocates
did not get the federal restrictions they wanted. Conservative Democrats joined
with GOP leaders to stop a House bill requiring
a three-day background check on gun show sales and trigger locks for handguns.

The NRA and several Republican candidates then seized on the issues in rural
areas, using them as a way to undercut
Democratic hopefuls in states such as Kentucky, Pennsylvania and West Virginia.

Now both parties are wary of broaching the topic, according to a senior House
Republican, because it can backfire among
suburban voters the GOP is wooing, as well as among rural Americans whom Democrats
are trying to lure back to the party.

"I don't think either party is comfortable with the political and cultural 
realignment,"
the lawmaker said. "We'd much rather talk
about economic issues."

Rep. John Dingell (D-Mich.) said Democrats, including Al Gore, last year's Democratic
presidential nominee, "found
themselves severely hurt in elections" by identifying with the issue of gun control.

"I think they're starting to learn this," said Dingell, whose office recently
ordered 300 bumper stickers from the NRA
emblazoned with the phrase "Charlton Heston is My President."

But many gun control advocates point out that five Senate candidates with strong
backing by the NRA -- including Attorney
General John D. Ashcroft -- were defeated in November. Oregon and Colorado 
overwhelmingly
approved referendums
requiring background checks at gun shows, measures that were heavily promoted
by a new group called Americans for Gun
Safety.

Founded by a millionaire tech executive, Americans for Gun Safety bills itself
as a "third way" group intent on forging the middle
ground in the gun debate.

It is playing a key role in helping Sens. John McCain (R-Ariz.) and Joseph I.
Lieberman (D-Conn.) draft a less restrictive
proposal on gun show checks than one that was adopted by the Senate but died
in the House last year.

"It's our view that the gun safety movement is at a turning point," said Jonathan
Cowan, the group's president. "Either it learns to
speak to the center of the electorate, or it won't be relevant 20 years from
now. . . . The opponents are mistaking a turning
point for the end of the gun safety movement. It's a new beginning."

Even an outspoken gun control advocate such as Rep. Carolyn McCarthy (D-N.Y.)
-- whose husband was killed and son was
injured in a shooting on a Long Island Rail Road commuter train -- has scaled
back her plans in recent weeks. McCarthy is
working with McCain and Lieberman on their compromise gun show proposal.

                                 � 2001 The Washington Post Company

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