http://www.larouchepub.com/other/2001/2819e_rearmament.html



Executive Intelligence Review, May 11, 2001 Internet Issue

Huge Defense Orders
Cover U.S. Industry Drop

by Lothar Komp

Following a preliminary release in late April, the U.S. Commerce Department
on May 2 presented its final figures for new factory orders in March.
According to the report, new orders for manufactured goods in March increased
by 1.8% compared to February--but only due a strong rise in orders for
transportation equipment. New orders excluding transportation equipment were
down by 1.2% in March, falling for the fourth month in a row, marking the
longest string of monthly declines since March 1991.

The most spectacular feature in the report by the Department of Commerce is
the more than tenfold increase of new orders for--almost exclusively
military--ships and tanks, going up from $568 million in February to $5.886
billion in March, a rise of 936%.

The monthly order income for shipbuilding and tanks in February was rather
normal, so the dramatic rise from February to March cannot be explained by an
anomalously low figure in February. It is rather the case, that what the
Pentagon would normally spend on ships and tanks in a full year, it is now
spending in a single month. New orders for aircraft, missiles, satellites,
and parts--making up another sub-category of transportation
equipment--increased from 11.356 billion in February to $14.122 billion in
March, a rise of 24.4%. Overall new orders for transportation equipment
thereby were pushed up in March by 24.8%, compared to the month before.

New orders for what the Commerce Department characterizes as "defense capital
goods"--in particular ships, tanks, missiles, and some other categories--rose
from $5.459 billion in January to $6.832 billion in February, a jump of 25%,
and to $11.196 billion in March, a further monthly rise by 64%.

Rumsfeld Pushing Further Big Boost

According to a lengthy analysis in the Wall Street Journal for May 2, the
series of Defense Department policy reviews ordered by Secretary Rumsfeld are
nearing completion, and one certain conclusion is that there must be a big
boost in military spending. Rumsfeld is expected to seek a supplemental
budget of $10 billion for this year, and to seek a $20 billion increase in
2002 and a $35 billion boost in 2003.


All told, $25 billion of this $65 billion proposed jump in Defense Department
spending is to go to hardware purchases. Of course, it is a big question
whether the Congress will go along with this push. Already, senior Democrats
are grumbling about Bush's massive tax cut, arguing that there is not enough
money left to finance such a big military spending spree.

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