-Caveat Lector-

<http://www.washtimes.com/national/20010621-12853483.htm>

June 21, 2001

Election study conducted by Gore associate

By Bill Sammon
THE WASHINGTON TIMES


The U.S.  Civil Rights Commission's study that concluded Florida blacks
were disenfranchised in last year's presidential election was conducted by
a consultant to former Vice President Al Gore, The Washington Times has
learned.  Top Stories

To obtain the raw data from this study, the commission's two Republican
appointees said they have been reduced to submitting Freedom of Information
Act (FOIA) requests to their own commission.

They said the group's Democratic majority has been slow to provide this and
other information they need in order to write their dissenting opinion
before Senate Democrats begin hearings next week.

The study, which Democrats on the commission leaked to The Washington Post
and the New York Times, was conducted by American University history
professor Alan Lichtman, who is listed on the school's Web site as
"consultant to Vice President Albert Gore Jr."

"He's obviously very pro-Gore," said Russell Redenbaugh, one of two
conservatives on the eight-member commission.  "The Lichtman statistics are
arcane and controversial.  The statistical methodology used is not at all
mainstream and not universally accepted."

Mr.  Lichtman yesterday emphasized that he also has done consulting work
for Republicans, including Lee Atwater and New York Mayor Rudolph W.
Giuliani, although he has never worked for President Bush.

"I haven't been a consultant for Gore for six years," he said.  "So it's
really unfair of them to be attacking me personally."

Republican Commissioner Abigail Thernstrom said Mr.  Lichtman's attempts to
portray himself as bipartisan were "hilarious."

"The fact is he's a hired gun for minority plaintiffs in voting rights
cases," she said.  "He's very driven by his commitment to finding
disenfranchisement and finding violations of the Voting Rights Act.  I
mean, it's just blatant in all his work."

Les Gin, staff director for the Democrat-controlled commission, said the
staff did not know when they retained Mr.  Lichtman that he had been a
consultant to Mr.  Gore.

"If we had known, would it have made any difference?" he asked
rhetorically.
"The truth is, it probably would not have."

Mr.  Gin said Mr.  Lichtman was hired partly because the staff liked his
testimony during the commission's hearings in January in Tallahassee, Fla.

"I think he did a very nice job of presenting as a witness down in
Tallahassee," he said.  "At that point, I think there was a feeling that
Dr.
Lichtman was a very good person to finish this project."

But the commission's Republican appointees cited Mr.  Lichtman's January
testimony as proof that his conclusions about black disenfranchisement were
a foregone conclusion.

"While I've done no study of my own, I've handed out to you a New York
Times article from Nov.  29, which does show that in fact there are
disparate election systems used in the state of Florida," Mr.  Lichtman
testified at the time.

"Minorities perhaps can go to the polls unimpeded, but their votes are less
likely to count because of the disparate technology than are the votes of
whites," he added.

After the commission appointed him, Mr.  Lichtman conducted a statistical
analysis that claimed to confirm that thesis.  But Republicans said the
study should have been conducted by a statistician, not a historian, and
certainly not by someone who once worked for Mr.  Gore.

Moreover, the GOP appointees complained that Mr.  Lichtman's study was
sprung on them just two days before the commission's June 8 hearing.  Mr.
Redenbaugh, who is blind, did not have enough time to arrange for someone
to read him the report.

"It's an [Americans with Disabilities Act] violation, even though he won't
say anything because he hates being in the category of disabled and making
a fuss about it," said Mrs.  Thernstrom.

"I mean, we're discussing a report page by page that a commissioner who is
blind has not had an opportunity to read," she added.  "He had no access to
that report, in effect.  They treated him as not a commissioner who was
entitled to read this document."

Mr.  Redenbaugh downplayed his lack of timely access to the report.

He said the important point is that Democratic members of the commission
have refused to provide the raw data on which the study is based.

Both Mr.  Redenbaugh and Mrs.  Thernstrom have filed FOIA requests to
obtain this and other information they say is crucial for their dissenting
opinion, which is due next week.

"It's appalling that we have had to submit a FOIA request," Mrs.
Thernstrom said.  "But we can't get the data.  We've got some paper, but we
can't enter all these numbers and make them machine readable.  I want his
disks because the taxpayers paid for them."

But Mr.  Lichtman said he has no computer disks containing statistical
databases or models.  Besides, he said, he provided paper copies of the raw
numbers and listed the Web sites for his source materials.

"It's all on the Web," he said.  "In my report, I point out all the Web
sites.  I mean, this data has been available for months.  There's no secret
data and they got a hard copy of all the data as well.  So this is
nonsense."

Mr.  Gin agreed.

"I'm a little surprised by the fact that they've filed FOIA requests,
because that's not the way we do business with commissioners," he said.
"Dr.
Lichtman does not have that data on a disk; he doesn't have it in one
place.
He just took the information off the Internet."

Republicans rejected the idea that they should re-create Mr.  Lichtman's
study by trying to duplicate from scratch his collection methods and
analysis of data from numerous sources.

They accused the Democrats of deliberately stonewalling so that the
dissenting report will not be published before Wednesday, when Sen.
Christopher J.  Dodd, Connecticut Democrat, convenes hearings on the
election.

The first two witnesses at the hearing will be Mrs.  Thernstrom and the
commission's liberal chairman, Mary Frances Berry.  Miss Berry, who has
given $19,000 to Democrats since 1992, did not return phone calls for this
story.


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