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Peace at any cost is a Prelude to War!

ARTICLE 1


An Army Of One Feeling: Angst



Ed.: More on the behind the scenes developments in the strategy review. Once
again, we’re facing the danger that costly defense technologies could erode
the close combat capabilities still needed for anti terrorism operations and
other "muddy boots scenarios."

Excerpts from a National Journal report, 06/09/01.


By James Kitfield

On Saturday, May 12, the Joint Chiefs of Staff met with Defense Secretary
Donald Rumsfeld for a briefing on one of the most eagerly awaited of the many
secretive ongoing reviews of U.S. defense policy. Dubbed the "Rumsfeld
Reviews"…

Leading this particular briefing-on the future of conventional war
fighting-was David Gompert, a vice president at the RAND Corp. think
tank…Gompert primarily emphasized the future value of long-range,
precision-strike capabilities-bombs and missiles that airplanes and ships can
fire at faraway targets. There was little mention of forward-based ground
troops or the kind of "engagement" activities-joint training and exercises
with foreign militaries-that characterize much of the day-to-day operations
of today's U.S. Army.

The review defined weapons either as fitting well into a future battlefield
dominated by rapidly deployable forces with over-the-horizon firing
capability, or as marginal or even irrelevant to that scenario. In the latter
categories, reportedly, were the Army's 70-ton M1-A2 Abrams battle tank,
which was so successful in Desert Storm, and the still-in-development
Crusader mobile artillery system, which is designed to fire a huge number of
shells very quickly. The Gompert review also suggested shrinking the number
of people in uniform to pay for the new kind of warfare, including possible
cuts to the Army, perhaps eliminating some of its heavy tank divisions.

All of the service chiefs gave the briefing a frosty reception. They were
still smarting over being largely excluded from the early stages of the
Rumsfeld Reviews. In fact, to ease some of the isolation the services were
feeling, Rumsfeld last week undertook an extraordinary series of daily
meetings with the service chiefs to go over the reviews. And Pentagon
spokesmen are now attempting to play down the importance of the reviews,
describing them simply as "get-smart" exercises whose findings will be folded
into the Pentagon's Quadrennial Defense Review, a report expected in
September.

Nevertheless, the Rumsfeld Reviews have provoked a profound anxiety in Army
ranks, and it is not abating….

Defense experts believe the Army has every reason to feel threatened by the
Bush Administration. After heading two influential commissions on national
missile defense and U.S. military capabilities in space, Rumsfeld is known to
favor these high-tech and far-aloft domains where the Army's foothold is
tentative, at best. Rumsfeld's stated desire to pull U.S. Army peacekeepers
out of the Balkans and the Sinai Peninsula also suggests a resistance to the
entanglements and risks inherent in boots-on-the-ground operations that are
the Army's stock-in-trade.

Other aspects of the Rumsfeld Reviews have also sounded alarms inside the
Army…Andrew Marshall, argues for a shift in focus, away from the European
theater, which is dominated by U.S. Army ground troops and Air Force tactical
air forces, and onto the Asian-Pacific theater, whose vast, watery distances
favor naval forces, long-range air assets, and the avoidance of ground wars…

Also worrying the Army, as well as the other services, is the Bush
Administration's $1.35 trillion tax cut. Coupled with the demands on the
federal budget from proposed reforms in education, Social Security, and
prescription drug insurance, the tax cut could leave very little money to
fund Rumsfeld's ambitious agenda…

"I think Rumsfeld is discovering that the Pentagon is much more
under-financed and dysfunctional than he anticipated, yet he's promised to
transform it, modernize the arsenal, and keep faith with its people," said
one longtime defense expert…

Of all the armed services, the Army, because it is the most reliant on
people, and the least high-tech, has always felt itself particularly
vulnerable to cuts in what the Pentagon calls "force structure"-basically the
number of fighting units…

"The problem with Army force structure is that it has the least political
constituency in Washington," said Thomas Donnelly, a former staff member with
the House Armed Services Committee and currently a senior analyst with the
Project for the New American Century, a conservative think tank in
Washington. "Army force structure doesn't translate into home-state programs…

Unease inside the Army is exacerbated by a sense that the service is already
badly off balance…

"The Army today is suffering from two self-inflicted wounds in terms of the
controversies surrounding the beret and new recruiting slogan, plus it is
feeling defensive," said retired Army Lt. Gen. Terry Scott, director of
national security programs at Harvard University's John F. Kennedy School of
Government. Add to that defensiveness the Army's tendency to wear its heart
on its sleeve and its inability to get its general officers singing in one
voice, he said, and the Army has difficulty arguing its case effectively.
"Right now, for instance, there are a lot of retired generals who are happy
to tell you that Army transformation is a lot of bull," said Scott.

Yet a number of experts believe that the Army is vulnerable, not because it
has undertaken a risky transformation into a lighter, more mobile force, but
rather because it began that process so late…

"We spent a lot of time trying to understand the type of warfare the United
States might confront in the next quarter-century, and it is very difficult
to imagine where these great ground wars are going to occur in the future,"
said retired Air Force Gen. Charles Boyd, executive director of the U.S.
Commission on National Security/21st Century, a congressionally mandated
panel studying future national security needs. "We saw a much greater
requirement for the Army to deal with failed states and limited conflicts,
where the premium would be on rapidly deployable, agile forces of great
lethality. So no one on the commission felt that the Army was somehow
obsolete, but I think we would like to see the Army transform itself as
quickly as possible."

Army officials point out that even if the Pentagon were to jettison the
requirement of being able to fight two major theater wars nearly
simultaneously, the Army would still find its forces stretched thin at
today's level of 10 active divisions…

On an even more fundamental level, Army officials are distressed by what they
see as the growing belief in a sort of "immaculate warfare," whereby the
United States can stand secure behind high-tech missile defenses and space
systems and smite enemies from afar without fear of suffering casualties.
Such a concept defies history…

"A lot of us generals who spent 40 years in uniform are worried that the Army
is now threatened by a lot of technological purists and dilettantes who have
new ideas about how to fight wars that don't square with reality," said a
retired Army four-star who served as one of the Pentagon's war-fighting
commanders in chief….






ARTICLE 2


Study: US Must Help Colombia



Ed.: More think tank recommendations to expand our role in Columbia and even
neighboring countries, vs. taking measures at home and along our borders. It
disturbs me to see the growing influence of Rand and other "tanks" who ruled
supreme with McNamara and who are now filled to the gills with ex-Perfumed
Princes. A recent AP report.


WASHINGTON (AP) - The United States should rethink its commitment to fighting
drug trafficking in Colombia and step up assistance to help the country
remedy the weakness of its armed forces and state institutions, according to
a study conducted for the U.S. Air Force.

The report by Rand Corp., a Santa Monica, Calif., research group, says the
threat of political and military deterioration in Colombia could soon lead to
the United States' most serious security crisis in the hemisphere since the
Central American wars of the 1980s.

The study says U.S. policy ignores the fact that ``the political and military
control that the guerrillas exercise over an ever-larger part of Colombia's
territory and population is at the heart of their challenge to the Bogota
government's authority.''

As for military assistance, the report urges help for Colombian efforts to
reform its forces, improve anti-guerrilla operations and regain control of
major roads and rivers.

Meanwhile, the United States should work with neighboring countries to
contain the risk of spillover and regional destabilization and to pave the
way for a multilateral response if the crisis in Colombia deepens and
containment efforts fail.

A $1.3 billion U.S. assistance program is aimed primarily at assisting
Colombian counter-narcotics efforts through the provision of helicopters,
other equipment and military training. Funds also are set aside for social
programs, development of the justice system and protection of human rights.

The administration also is earmarking funds for neighboring countries to
bolster their counter-drug efforts should coca growers in Colombia decide to
relocate outside the country.







ARTICLE 3


China Broke U.S. Military Codes After Taking Plane



Ed.: This isn’t good news and the public doesn’t know much about it. As to
the other capabilities, maybe we shouldn’t become totally dependent on space
as the other battlefield. Good conventional and reliable backup never hurts.


Charles R. Smith, Friday, June 8, 2001

China broke secret U.S. military codes after the capture of a Navy aircraft.
Japanese defense officials informed the Pentagon that the Link-11 secure
military communication system was compromised after a U.S. Navy plane was
forced down. Japanese defense officials confirmed that Tokyo ordered its
defense forces to change Link-11 codes immediately after the EP-3E was
captured.

The U.S. Navy EP-3E surveillance aircraft held by China is equipped with the
most advanced version of the NATO Link-11 secure communication system. The
Navy aircraft was forced to land on Hainan Island after a collision with a
Chinese air force F-8 interceptor in April.

Japan has bought several EP-3E aircraft from America and shares the Link-11
system with U.S. allies in NATO. The Link-11 system passes information
between ground stations and airborne early-warning aircraft of the Japan Air
Self-Defense Force.

The EP-3E in question, aircraft PR-32, was equipped with the latest version
of the NATO Link-11 system, code named "Story Book." Japanese officials are
concerned that, even if the hard drives of the computers were magnetically
wiped and the CD-ROM key disks were destroyed, there is still much the
Chinese could learn.

Chinese Army Uses Stolen U.S. System

Chinese military engineers are already very familiar with the U.S. designed
Link-11 communication system. The Chinese military employs a stolen version
of the U.S.-made Link-11. The Link W system employed by the People's
Liberation Army Navy (PLAN) is an unlicensed copy of the U.S. Navy Link-11.

Japan also shares the Link-11 system with America. Japan has two new Boeing
767 airliners, equipped with huge American designed radars to monitor
aircraft and missile activity inside China. The Link-11 communication systems
in these aircraft are identical to those used on the captured American EP-3E.

Japanese military officials are worried that the new Boeing early-warning
aircraft will be jammed and unable to pass critical data to command posts in
the event of war with China.

The Japan Defense Agency in Tokyo ordered an immediate evaluation of the
risks to Japan after the U.S. Navy EP-3E was captured. Taiwan and Japan
regularly fly electronic surveillance aircraft in the Sea of Japan and the
East China Sea to monitor Chinese army communications and Chinese navy
warship activity. Since the April EP-3E incident, Japanese and Taiwanese
flights have been escorted by fighters and watched closely by radar.

Navy and CIA Ignored Warnings

Pentagon sources are convinced that the EP-3E incident was not an accident.
In March, U.S. Navy intelligence officials ignored the repeated close
encounters with the Chinese air force's jets, deciding that they were the
actions of a single "hot-shot" pilot.

Now defense analysts stated that they are certain that Chinese pilot Wang Wei
acted with permission from PLAAF command. The Chinese air force operates
under a strict Soviet-style control system that does not allow pilots to fly
close passes without permission.

In addition, Chinese army intelligence officials warned their American
counterparts in January that the People's Liberation Army disapproved of
American spy satellites, warning that the PLA might shoot one down in the
future. CIA officials reportedly ignored the warnings from Beijing at the
time.

Defense officials now acknowledge the China has the capability of disabling
or destroying a U.S. satellite. U.S. spy satellites are considered strategic
assets and are monitoring Chinese military exercises. U.S. satellites also
monitored the recent deployment of Chinese DF-11 and DF-15 mobile missiles to
forward bases opposite Taiwan.

Army's Anti-satellite Weapons

The Chinese military has several active anti-satellite programs and has
demonstrated a conventional space-rocket-launched anti-satellite weapon. More
importantly, the People's Liberation Army Air Force is working on an aircraft
launched anti-satellite missile that can pop up unexpectedly to attack U.S.
satellites.

The PLAAF program reportedly included the purchase of a MiG-31 Foxhound
aircraft from Russia to fire a large, two-stage, anti-satellite missile. The
Russian Foxhound is capable of flying at speeds in excess of 2,000 miles an
hour at extremely high altitudes. Apparently the Chinese attempt to buy the
Foxhound from Moscow has failed. However, the new Chinese J-11 Flanker jet
fighter is capable of carrying the large anti-satellite missile.

The Chinese army is also working on a ground-based laser designed to destroy
or disable U.S. satellites. Recent translations of Chinese military
documentation show that the PLA accelerated development of beam weapons
during 2000. The new PLA anti-satellite laser is estimated to be able to
deliver over 10,000 watts of output power on a target up to 500 miles away.





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