British Columbia in the Green, DEA Miffed
Philip Smith, DRCNet
July 24, 2001

That marijuana is rapidly becoming a major player in the economy of British
Columbia has just been confirmed in a newly released report from the
Canadian province's Organized Crime Agency (OCA). BC marijuana activists
have for years touted marijuana as an economic stimulus for the province,
but this latest report suggests that "BC bud" has become so entrenched, so
economically potent and so culturally accepted that it may now be
politically impossible to eradicate it. These facts on the ground, however,
have not stopped U.S. drug warriors from attempting to bring their hundred
years' war to Vancouver. The DEA plans to open an office there by years'
end.


Good luck, guys.


Here's what they are up against, according to the OCA: The province boasts
15,000 to 25,000 marijuana grow operations employing (at six persons per
grow) between 90,000 and 150,000 people. The agency estimated the annual
wholesale value of the pot crop at $4 billion. At $2,000 per pound, that is
about two million pounds of BC bud each year, much of it headed south. The
agency estimated that as much as 95 percent of the crop is exported to the
ravenous U.S. market.


"I'm not aware of anywhere in North America where a single [illegal]
industry would be this important," Jim Brander, a professor of business
economics at the University of BC, told the Vancouver Sun after studying the
report.


How important is marijuana to the British Columbia economy? Counting only
the people directly involved in grow operations (at six per grow) and taking
the low end of the estimate, the marijuana sector's 100,000 workers make up
5 percent of the provincial workforce and number more than are employed in
the province's massive logging, mining, and oil and gas industries (55,000
combined), the information and culture industries (99,000), provincial and
local government (99,000), and business managers and administrators
(79,000). Only the manufacturing sector, with 205,000 workers, is unarguably
larger than the marijuana sector; the other two largest sectors --
construction and transportation -- both employ fewer than the high end
figure from official BC employment statistics, cited by the OCA
(http://www.bcstats.gov.bc.ca/data/dd/handout/naicsann.pdf).


Marijuana is also one of the province's leading exports, perhaps the largest
in dollar terms if the OCA export figures are accurate. The top legal
exports are wood ($3.2 billion US) and oil and gas ($1.5 billion US).
According to the OCA, marijuana exports accounted for as much as $3.8
billion US.


And that is good for Canada. "Ideally, what any country wants to do is
produce for export to other countries," said Lindsay Meredith, an economist
at Simon Fraser University. "It creates a trade surplus and makes the
currency stronger," he told the Vancouver Sun.


Accounting only for economic activity directly related to marijuana growing,
the pot sector could represent as much as 5 percent of the provincial
economy, OCA reported. But that estimate does not include the multiplier
effect, the tool used by economists to measure an industry's impact on the
larger economy. Because of the clandestine nature of the industry, the
multiplier effect is impossible to calculate, said Meredith, but is still
substantial.


The multiplier effect may be observed anecdotally in, for instance,
Vancouver's 32 grow operation supply shops, twice the number of Burger King
outlets in the city. (Washington-Baltimore, with a comparable population,
boasts one grow shop.) Or in the town of Nelson, where harvest season is
announced by a big bump in the restaurant and bar business. Or in the new
businesses from Vancouver Island to the Kootenays financed, rumor has it, by
marijuana profits.


Some people close to the scene say OCA's figures are too high. Vancouver
cannabis seed entrepreneur Marc Emery told the Sun he estimated the
industry's worth at $2.5 billion U.S., with some 60,000 people directly
involved in the trade. Even so, marijuana production would remain one of
British Columbia's leading industries. And that makes Emery happy.
"Marijuana is the best industry any province can have," the BC Marijuana
party head told the Sun.


Not everyone is as sanguine as Emery. Mark Wexler, a professor of business
ethics at Simon Fraser University, pointed to a slew of problems associated
with illegal industries. As marijuana "becomes a predominant part of the
economy," local support for enforcing the drug laws could dry up, Wexler
said, especially in smaller towns.


Drew Edwards, editor of the Nelson and author of a book on the local pot
business, "West Coast Smoke," told the Sun that is already happening in his
community. "In Nelson, the people growing marijuana are your neighbours and
your friends," he said, and people are reluctant to turn them in.


Wexler also pointed to the potential for violence in illicit industries.
"The more an economy is illegal, the more that economy has the potential for
violence," Wexler said. "Legitimate businesses generally don't take the law
into their own hands, but illegal businesses do not have third parties [the
judicial system] to act as intermediaries."


But even Wexler recognized that the problems he identified were related less
to marijuana in and of itself than to prohibition. "Can marijuana be made
legal and most of [those problems] go away?" asked Wexler. "Yes."


This is something that the provincial and national government will have to
confront, said Wexler. "If we were in a jurisdiction where marijuana was a
much smaller contributor [to the economy], we wouldn't be asking these
questions," he told the Sun. "But now we're at the point where this is big
business. The public [needs] to decide the degree to which the
commercialization of marijuana should be brought into the economy," Wexler
said. "We need to figure out what our approach to this is."


The U.S. Drug Enforcement Administration (DEA) knows what its approach is
and it is sending in the cavalry. Earlier this month, the U.S. Embassy in
Ottawa announced that the agency will open a Vancouver office -- the first
in Canada outside one in Ottawa, the capitol -- early next year to
coordinate investigations with BC police into the marijuana business.


"It will be a substantial office, not just a liaison office with one
person," embassy spokesman Buck Shinkman told reporters. "You place your
staff where there's the most business to be done," he added.


The DEA has grown increasingly concerned about BC bud, issuing an
intelligence brief in December warning that the BC marijuana business had
become "a billion-dollar industry" and that "traffickers smuggle a
significant portion of the Canadian harvest into the United States."


But the U.S. government is equally upset with the blind eye the province
turns to marijuana crimes. The Vancouver grow squad doesn't bother to arrest
most growers whose operations they raid, and growers who are arrested
typically face fines. Very few are sentenced to prison, and rarely for more
than a few weeks. Throughout the province, only 17 percent of incidents
where police find marijuana result in arrests.


The U.S. State Department in its 2000 Narcotics Control Report had a
suggestion for its northern neighbor: "Sentencing guidelines, together with
stronger judicial and public support, would increase the impact of the GOC's
[government of Canada's] law enforcement efforts and create a stronger
deterrent to transnational crime," wrote Washington.


That isn't likely to fly in British Columbia, where according to recent
polls, a majority favor legalization of marijuana. In a national poll this
month, Leger Marketing found 52.4 percent of BC residents in favor, and 46.8
percent nationwide. But that BC majority does not yet hold for legal
commercial production. According to a poll done last year in greater
Vancouver, only one in five was ready to embrace the province's underground
economic powerhouse.


But while the province grapples with its cannabis conundrum, thousands of
growers are building a new reality on the ground.



www.absurd.org


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