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Peace at any cost is a Prelude to War!

Even worse threat: Bioterrorism
By JOSEPH B. VERRENGIA
The Associated Press
 This undated handout picture released by Britain's Ministry of Defense Feb.
13, 1998, shows chemical/biological warfare agent R400 aerial bombs destroyed
in Iraq by U.N. inspectors after the Gulf War. Experts say such weapons in
the hands of terrorists could result in even more casualties than Tuesday's
attacks in New York and Washington.
AP File Photo



As devastating as Tuesday's terrorist attacks were, national security and
public health experts know this much:

Something even worse could happen. There are weapons that are invisible and
next-to-impossible to trace.

A whiff of nerve gas. A droplet of anthrax. A particle of smallpox.

Infectious or toxic weapons in skilled hands could cause considerably more
casualties among ordinary Americans than the estimated 5,000 dead and missing
at the World Trade Center and the Pentagon.

The use of biological or chemical weapons -- described by some as the poor
man's atomic bomb -- is a sensitive topic, especially now.

Experts caution that a bioterrorism attack here is not inevitable. Their
opinions are the products of war games rather than an immediate and real
threat.

And there are those who say that few terrorists could pull this off, that
this would be a much more complicated and difficult feat than it may seem.

But the science exists to launch such an attack and, obviously, so does the
hatred. President Clinton said as much as early as 1999 when he said a
biological or chemical attack on the United States is "highly likely."

Seattle thought so, too. Before the World Trade Organization meeting there,
hospitals stockpiled antidotes, just in case.

A commander of Afghanistan's Taliban told The Associated Press last year that
Osama bin Laden -- described by administration officials as the prime suspect
in Tuesday's attacks -- was training his fighters in the use of chemical
weapons. The New York Times reported Sunday that satellite photos show dead
animals at a terrorist training camp in eastern Afghanistan operated by bin
Laden.

Chemical weapons might have an extraordinary effect, wiping out masses of
people all at once. But the deadly effects likely would not spread beyond the
people who came in direct contact with the nerve gas or other poisonous agent.

In contrast, the scope of an attack using certain biological weapons in an
airport or a domed stadium would not be apparent for days or weeks until
victims showed symptoms of a mysterious illness.

By then, they could have infected many others around the world. Waves of
patients might overwhelm hospitals.

The public, panicked, might turn on their neighbors unless adequate medicines
and vaccines were available.

Which, the experts warn, they are not.

"The biological threat is one we are not adequately prepared for," said Dr.
Margaret A. Hamburg of the Nuclear Threat Initiative, a Washington think
tank. Hamburg was New York City health commissioner during the 1993 World
Trade Center bombing.

"This is a critical moment to assess where we are vulnerable," she said. "The
biological threat has to be very, very high on the priority list."

Others share Hamburg's concern.

"I'm very, very alarmed," said Donald A. Henderson, a biodefense expert at
Johns Hopkins University in Baltimore and adviser to former President Bush.

Skeptics said Tuesday's events, while horrific, don't mean that a bioattack
is on the horizon. Most terrorists, they said, don't have the expertise.

"We need to be realistic in our threat assessments," said Jonathan B. Tucker,
a nonproliferation expert at the Monterey Institute of International Studies
in Washington. "A worst-case scenario is unlikely."

Fighting with disease was prohibited by a 1972 treaty signed by 143 nations,
but biological weapons have, on occasion, been used in the past. In the
Middle Ages, sieges were broken by catapulting corpses over castle walls to
spread poxes and plagues. In the western United States, American Indians were
given the blankets of smallpox victims.

During the Gulf War, Saddam Hussein was accused of using chemical weapons
against Iraq's Kurdish minority. He was believed to have possessed biological
and chemical weapons, and the CIA says he is pursuing them again.

The United States and the former Soviet Union built vast germ warfare
stockpiles. In July, the Bush administration pulled out of negotiations to
further enforce the biological weapons ban.

Subsequent reports suggest both nations still investigate new bioweapons,
including an enhanced form of anthrax, to understand how they might work.
Experts speculate that hardships might prompt some Russian scientists to sell
their know-how on the black market. In addition to Iraq, Iran and Libya have
reportedly pursued germ warfare.

In Japan, a cult killed a dozen commuters on a Tokyo subway with nerve gas in
1995 after failing to spread biological agents with a sprayer truck.

With today's microcomponents, some believe a modified fire extinguisher or
climate control system loaded with bioagents could do the job.



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without profit or payment to those who have expressed a prior interest
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