-Caveat Lector-

Taliban commanders 'about to mutiny'
By Alex Spillius in Peshawar
(Filed: 03/10/2001)

TALIBAN military commanders in key border provinces of Afghanistan are
plotting to mutiny against the regime, former allies from the guerrilla war
against the Soviet Union said yesterday.
Anti-Taliban leaders based in neighbouring Pakistan say they are in touch
with the commanders, who are their tribal cousins or former brothers-in-arms
in the struggle against the Soviet occupation. The commanders are reported to
be holding regular meetings in their villages and camps and are ready to move
against the Taliban at any time.
The threat of American military action and the Taliban's refusal to give up
Osama bin Laden means the commanders are no longer willing to operate under
Taliban command as they have for five years.
Former unit leaders based in Peshawar are also said to be preparing to come
out of retirement and cross the border to combat the Taliban in a belt of
eastern provinces bordering Pakistan.
"These provinces are very vulnerable. They are in walking distance of the
border and we can easily get our weapons in. They are the gateway to Kabul,
and once we start, the Taliban will easily fall apart," said Qazi Amin Waqar,
a former mujahideen leader and minister in the government ousted by the
Taliban in 1996.
He and other exiled opposition leaders communicate regularly with associates
inside Afghanistan by satellite telephone or via messengers travelling up to
12 hours by foot across the mountainous frontier. "It is just a matter of
timing; they are ready for the word to go," said Qazi Amin.
The uprising would probably begin in and around Jalalabad, his home city and
capital of Nangarhar province, and spread west into Kabul and south into
Paktia and Paktika provinces, where the Taliban has already agreed to devolve
authority to tribal elders to try to hold on to power.
The provinces are dominated by the same Pathan ethnic group as the
southern-based Taliban, but have an independent tribal tradition that has
never more than tolerated the militia's control.
The movement's leader, Mullah Mohammed Omar, recognises that his regime may
soon be ousted and forced into fighting a guerrilla war. The Taliban's
adversaries realise that fear of American military attacks has created an
unrepeatable opportunity to topple the puritanical regime.
Pakistani newspapers have reported efforts by Ismail Khan, another former
anti-Soviet leader now exiled in Iran, to attack Kandahar, the headquarters
of the Taliban in the south. Western powers are said to have encouraged him
to use old contacts to exploit divisions within the Taliban.
Afghans based in Peshawar have been told in telephone calls from friends in
Kandahar that most Taliban officials have fled to the hills and that Mullah
Omar has left the city in fear of his life and never spends two nights in one
place.
The Americans have made it clear that they do not want to be seen as the
sponsor of any one particular force, especially the Northern Alliance. Though
it has provided the only active resistance to the Taliban for the past five
years, the alliance, thanks to its support from the hated Russians, has scant
credibility in areas beyond its control.
Qazi Amin said: "Once we have got rid of the Taliban the other problem, Osama
bin Laden, will be taken care of. We will not tolerate foreign terrorists on
Afghan soil."
Sayed Ishaq Gilani, an Afghan patrician and major supporter of efforts to
bring back former King Zahir Shah to lead a government of national unity,
said: "People are mobilising. The commanders are meeting day and night. They
are planning attacks on the Taliban.
"They have the guns and ammunition. They have contacted me and asked for
political and financial support. I have passed this message on to
representatives of Western countries here.
"We don't need much. For the price of two to three cruise missiles we could
take care of this. It would be so much cheaper for the US and better for our
country than if they invade. There is a danger that any new government would
be seen as a new puppet and we don't want any more puppets in Afghanistan."
Mohammed Nadir, 75, a village head from Paktia, arrived in Peshawar by road
at the weekend to consult Mr Sayed. He said: "Everyone opposes the Taliban.
We never liked them but we accepted them for the sake of peace.
"But now there are no schools, no hospitals, no order to life, and little
food. I have come here to discuss the crisis but the people are ready to rise
up."

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