-Caveat Lector-

http://www.vny.com/cf/News/upidetail.cfm?QID=231548

Copyright 2001 by United Press International.
All rights reserved.

Tuesday, 27 November 2001 19:14 (ET)
Caspian pipeline skirts trouble spots
By HIL ANDERSON, UPI Chief Energy Correspondent

Dignitaries from around the world gathered at a Russian tanker port on the
Black Sea Tuesday to mark the grand opening of a 900-mile pipeline that has
thrown open the door to the vast oilfields of the volatile Caspian Sea region.

The pipeline was built in a little more than a year by the Caspian Pipeline
Consortium and has been operational at a rate of about 600,000 barrels per
day for more than a month. It links the huge Tenzig field of western
Kazakhstan to the seaport of Novorossiysk.

While probably not the most direct route to the open sea, the CPC route runs
well north of Afghanistan and skirts the troubled Russian republic of
Chechnya.

"This pipeline will strengthen international energy security by adding more
than a million barrels of oil a day to global supply, and by creating new
jobs and billions of dollars in revenue," said U.S. Secretary of Energy
Spencer Abraham, one of a number of high-ranking officials from the United
States, Russia and Kazakhstan who attended Tuesday's ceremony in Novorossiysk.

Novorossiysk has been a major tanker terminal for Russian crude exports for
many years, however it was not the only choice for the terminus of a crude
pipeline from the Caspian.

It turned out to be the safest and most expedient investment for the
consortium, which spent about $2.65 billion on the project.

During the 1990s, the United States was anxious to see increased amounts of
Caspian oil reaching the world market in order to further dilute the clout of
OPEC and other major producers. The Caspian has as much as 34 billion barrels
of proven reserves and much larger potential reserves, about a quarter of
what the Middle East holds and larger than the reserves in the United States
and North Sea, according to the U.S. Energy Information Administration.

The trick, however, was finding a politically secure route for the oil to
take from the landlocked sea to open waters where it could be hauled to
virtually anywhere in the world.

The most obvious route for a pipeline would be through the short route
through Iran to the Persian Gulf, or through Afghanistan to the Pakistani
coast -- both of which presented the chance that unfriendly governments could
shut down the pipeline in order to press a political agenda with the west.

U.S. sanctions against Iran and its refusal to recognize the Taliban in
Afghanistan essentially made Novorossiysk the only choice for the oil
companies that would invest huge amounts of money in the Caspian.

The CPC is made up of companies from the Russia, Kazakhstan and Europe as
well as the U.S. companies Mobil Caspian Pipeline and Chevron Caspian
Pipeline Consortium Co. The Russian Federation holds 24-percent of the CPC
while Kazakhstan and Oman also own stakes.

Executives Tuesday portrayed the CPC project as just the first of many
international projects in the region that was thrown open by the collapse of
the Soviet Union.

"This achievement comes at a time of increased partnership between the U.S.,
Russia, and Kazakhstan," said ChevronTexaco Chairman Dave O'Reilly. "CPC is a
bellwether project for successful international cooperation and demonstrates
the confidence the international business community has to invest in Russia
and Kazakhstan."

U.S. Commerce Secretary Don Evans said earlier this autumn that the CPC
pipeline "tells the world that the United States, Russia, and Central Asian
states are cooperating to build prosperity and stability in this part of the
world."

Caspian crude will have to transit the narrow Bosporus to the Mediterranean
Sea, making Europe its closest market. A pipeline through Iran or Afghanistan
might make Caspian more economical for North American and Asian markets,
however any new oil on the market helps keep world prices at reasonable
levels.

"Greater energy security through a more diverse supply of oil for global
markets -- these are key elements of President Bush's National Energy
Policy," Abraham said in a plug for his boss. "The CPC pipeline is a clear
example of that policy in action, in an international setting."

Some analysts and critics of the U.S. campaign in Afghanistan have theorized
that the war against the Taliban is actually aimed at installing a regime in
Kabul that will open the door for construction of another Caspian pipeline,
however Tuesday's ceremony in Novorossiysk may be a signal that there is no
rush.

"There is no longer a shortage of oil export capacity in Kazakhstan,"
Cambridge Energy Research Associates said in a recent assessment of the
feasibility of an Afghan pipeline. "The need for a major new oil pipeline via
Afghanistan or any other route will not reemerge until around 2010."

The construction of the CPC pipeline to Novorossiysk turned out to be the
right choice for the United States while Afghanistan's failure to land a
lucrative pipeline project will be chalked up as another misstep by the
Taliban.
--
Copyright 2001 by United Press International.
All rights reserved.

Message: WWN-UPI-1-20011127-18185800-bc-us-russia-pipeline-Text
Content: SRV_INTNEWS SRV_USNEWS SRV_UPIWASH SRV_USBUS
Content: ECON POL WAR
Content: 04005000 04011000 11002000 16010000

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