-Caveat Lector-

Heightening tensions along border part of China's gameplan
Jaideep Mazumdar
Kolkata, December 25

http://www.hindustantimes.com/nonfram/261201/dLNAT04.asp

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The �hostile actions� by the Chinese in Arunachal Pradesh and
Sikkim is, according to strategic experts, part of a
well-thought-out move to corner India on two fronts. China has also
beefed up its presence in Myanmar�s Coco Islands on the Bay of
Bengal and plans to move in two aircraft carriers that are under
construction now to the area.
�India cannot concentrate exclusively on the western theatre with
Pakistan if China undertakes these measures along Arunachal and
Sikkim. And it could well be that it is goading Pakistan to
anti-Indian actions in Rajasthan, Punjab and Kashmir. A distracted
India is a weaker India and China stands to gain the most from it,�
pointed out a senior army officer.

In fact, say serving and retired officer, the situation now is
quite similar to the pre-1962 situation when Beijing lulled New
Delhi into a false sense of complacency.

China constructed a load linking Tibet with Xinjiang Ugyur region
in 1961. This road passed through Aksai Chin area of India and to
thwart any further moves by Chibna, India sent its troops to defend
that territory in November 1961. By October 1962, China launched a
full-scale aggression.

�This time, too, China has started acting on its claims over
Arunachal and Sikkim and has constructed roads and rail links right
up to our borders. It is encouraging new Chinese towns just across
the border to spill over slowly into India. It is upgrading its
formidable military infrastructure in the Small Coco and Great Coco
Islands by stationing radar squadrons, extending two runways and
beefing up the naval base there.

"At the same time, Chinese leaders are talking of peaceful
resolution of the border issue with India and are trying to charm
the Indian leadership into thinking that China is no threat to
India. Our Foreign Minister said as much when he visited Beijing in
June 1999, though our Defence Minister did say in April 1998 that
China continues to represent a security threat to us,� said a
retired army officer who did not want to be named.

China, said a strategic expert, has a �long memory� and has never
shied away on taking concrete action on its territorial claims.

�Look at tactics China has employed to keep Japan and other
countries on a leash. Apart from keeping India under pressure on
the eastern front, China has been employing Pakistan as a surrogate
belligerent to jeopardize India�s security,� said an analyst.

China has also been sending out conflicting signals�a few months
after Jaswant Singh declared that China was no security threat to
India, Chinese President Jiang Zemin made highly derogatory
references to India while speaking to President Bill Clinton.

Zemin reportedly said that India would be dealt with strongly if it
does not stop providing shelter to Tibetan refugees and continues
to oppose China�s efforts to integrate Arunachal and Sikkim with
the rest of that country. The USA�s Central Intelligence Agency
sums it the best: �Beijing treats India as a country to be
threatened, belittled and kept in check�. This, and other such
assessments by the CIA, can be found in the CIA Factbooks.

According to the army sources, India will take at least a decade to
upgrade its infrastructure in the North East to what China has on
its side of the LAC now. It is learnt that the Indian Air Force
(IAF) installations in the eastern and northeastern region have
also been put on alert.




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