-Caveat Lector-

http://www.dawn.com/cgi-bin/dina.pl?file=top18.htm&date=20011229

IMF wants conditions implemented for funds flow


By Our Staff Reporter

ISLAMABAD, Dec 28: The International Monetary Fund (IMF) wants
Pakistan to implement a set of conditionalities, including ensuring
fiscal transparency and improving governance , to keep receiving
uninterrupted flow of funds under a three-year $1.3 billion Poverty
Reduction Growth Facility (PRGF) programme.

According to a latest IMF document, the key priorities for the
PRGF-supported programme should include: an ambitious and credible
action plan to reform tax administration and improve tax
collection; quantitative and qualitative improvements in public
poverty-related spending and in the delivery and monitoring of
basic social services; continued efforts to improve governance and
fiscal transparency; a clear and public strategy for any transition
to a financial system consistent with Islamic principles; deepening
of the foreign exchange inter-bank market to allow phasing out of
the State Bank's kerb market purchases; reform and privatisation of
major commercial banks and public enterprise; and mobilisation of
concessional resources to help Pakistan to get out of the debt
trap.

Performance under the recently expired Stand-by Arrangement has
established a good track record of macro-economic policy and
structural reforms implementation. "However, Pakistan has yet to
build a viable modern tax system and tackle widespread poverty, and
weaknesses in the basic social services," the document added.

The reform agenda under the proposed PRGF arrangement and the
Interim Poverty Reduction Strategy Paper (I-PRSP) is aimed at
raising GDP growth to Pakistan's potential of at least 6 per cent
within few years, while ensuring that the benefits are widely
shared by the poor.

The IMF expects from the country's central bank to maintain prudent
monetary policy under the floating exchange rate regime to keep its
5 per cent inflation target and build up international reserves to
at least three months of imports at the end of the three-year PRGF
programme. The programme envisages further exchange rate
liberalization and integration of the inter-bank and kerb markets.

The main risk to the programme, the Fund officials believe, would
arise from a prolongation of the regional conflict, which could
adversely affect growth, trade and investment and intensify
budgetary pressures. Other risks include resistance from interest
groups affected by the planned reforms, and limited administrative
capacity to implement certain aspects of the programme. However,
recognizing such uncertainties, the programme includes a number of
contingency measures to protect fiscal and external balances.

The success of the economic reform programme depends, to a
considerable extent, on measures to address the large external debt
burden.

The IMF believes that the military government that took office in
October, 1999, has candidly taken stock of the economic weaknesses
besetting Pakistan, including poor governance and weak social
indicators. It has also made a strong start in addressing many of
the long-standing structural problems facing the economy and
bringing the country back on the path of higher growth, sustainable
development and reduced poverty. Pakistan's achievements under the
more recent 10-month Standby Arrangement, that expired in
September, 2001, are encouraging.




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