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Monday, January 21, 2002





GEOSTRATEGY-DIRECT INTELLIGENCE BRIEF
Saudis warming up to Iraq?
Riyadh a leading opponent of U.S.-led attack on Iraq



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ABU DHABI � Saudi Arabia appears to be signaling to Iraq that it is prepared for a 
reconciliation.

The signals have alarmed neighboring Iran, which last year signed a security pact with 
the Saudi kingdom. Kuwait also is said to be monitoring the Iraqi-Saudi contacts.

The Saudi view of Iraq was discussed during a visit by U.S. Sen. John Rockefeller to 
Riyadh. Rockefeller, a member of the Senate subcommittee on intelligence, met Saudi 
intelligence chief Prince Nawaf Ibn Abdul Aziz and C
rown Prince Abdullah.

Western diplomats said Riyadh has agreed to a reconciliation effort with Iraq. But 
Saudi leaders insisted that Iraq also offer to reconcile with Kuwait, invaded by 
President Saddam Hussein's forces in 1990.

Riyadh has become a leading opponent of any U.S.-led attack on Iraq. The diplomats 
said the Saudis have warned the Bush administration that such an attack would have 
serious repercussions on relations between the kingdom
and the United States.

On Jan. 9, Saddam issued a call for reconciliation with Riyadh and Kuwait, his first 
such announcement since the 1991 Gulf war. Saddam's call was featured prominently in 
Saudi-owned newspapers on Jan. 10.

Iraqi officials said the Saudi kingdom has not objected to an Iraqi effort to discuss 
an improvement in relations. The officials said Iraq has agreed in principle to any 
dialogue to resolve such issues as missing persons
from the 1991 Gulf war.

Both Iraqi Vice President Taha Yassin Ramadan and Foreign Minister Naji Sabri have 
confirmed the Saudi signals. The two officials said Iraq is ready for what they termed 
direct contacts with both Kuwait and Saudi Arabia.


Sabri added that those contacts must not be under U.S. or British auspices. The 
foreign minister also expressed his intention to visit neighboring Iran on Jan. 26.

Iran has expressed concern over the prospect of an Iraqi-Saudi reconciliation. The two 
countries last year signed a security cooperation agreement that has included an 
exchange of intelligence.

The Iran News, which reflects the thinking of the Islamic regime, warned over the 
weekend that Iraq has always sought to improve relations with its neighbors during 
times of crisis. When the crisis passes, the daily warne
d, Iraq then changes its policy.

"Iraq needs as many friends in the region as it can get," the
newspaper said. "Iraq has traditionally paid little or no regard to
the national sovereignty and territorial integrity of its neighbors."




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