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Don't Run, Hillary, Don't Run

Monday, February 04, 2002


ALBANY, N.Y. — More voters nationwide are beginning to take Sen. Hillary
Rodham Clinton at her word when she says she won't run for president in 2004,
according to results of a poll released Monday.


And, by a larger than 2-to-1 margin, voters nationwide think the New York
Democrat should never run for the White House.

The poll, by Marist College's Institute for Public Opinion, found that about
one in four voters think the former first lady will run for president in
2004. That is down from 36 percent who felt that way in a poll issued in
March by the institute, based in Poughkeepsie.

Broken down by party, more Republicans (30 percent) than Democrats (19
percent) believe Clinton will run for president in 2004.

"She remains, nationally, a person who still divides the country along party
lines," Marist pollster Lee Miringoff said.

Clinton has said she does not plan to run for president in 2004, but has not
flatly ruled anything out beyond that.

Twenty-seven percent of voters questioned said Clinton should someday run for
president, while 65 percent said she should not. That is statistically
unchanged from the Marist poll of March.

"As Senator Clinton has said, she is not running for president; she is
working hard in the Senate for the people of New York," said Clinton
spokeswoman Karen Dunn when asked about the poll.

Republican consultant Jay Severin said that Clinton's decision to hold a
fund-raiser in Washington next month for Iowa Gov. Tom Vilsack is evidence
that the senator is preparing to run for president in 2008.

"She's going to collect chits," Severin said Monday. "The biggest George Bush
fan in America right now for '04 is Hillary Clinton. She needs Bush to win in
'04 so there is the combination of an open seat and a rationale for her being
the rebuilder and savior of the Democratic Party. I'll bet my house she's
running in '08."

Democrats were about evenly split on whether the former first lady should
someday run for president -- 44 percent said she should and 48 percent said
she should not. There was no such uncertainty among Republicans, with 83
percent saying Clinton should never run for president.

"The best thing in the poll, if she ever wants to run for higher office, is
Democrats do divide fairly evenly, so there are Democrats to work with for
her," Miringoff said.

The telephone poll of 785 registered voters was conducted Jan. 14-24 and had
a margin of error of plus or minus 3.5 percentage points.




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