-Caveat Lector-

>From http://www.guardian.co.uk/bush/story/0,7369,759512,00.html

Go on, call Bush's bluff

If Iraq lets the arms inspectors back in, America's case for war will be exposed as 
fiction

Hans von Sponeck
Monday July 22, 2002
The Guardian

During the 17 months of the Bush administration just about everything has gone wrong 
for the US
government in preparing the public for military strikes against Iraq. Convincing 
friendly governments and
allies has not fared much better. Acts of terrorism against US facilities overseas and 
the anthrax menace at
home could not be linked to Iraq. Evidence of al-Qaida/lraq collaboration does not 
exist, neither in the
training of operatives nor in support to Ansar-al-Islam, a small fundamentalist group 
which allegedly harbours
al-Qaida elements and is trying to destabilise lraqi Kurdistan.

In the aftermath of the carnage of September 11, the political landscape in the Middle 
East has changed
dramatically. Years of US double standards in dealing with the Palestinian-Israeli 
conflict have taken a heavy
toll. The Arab, Turkish and Kurdish public in the area is wary of facing more turmoil, 
suffering and
uncertainty.

The Beirut summit of the Arab League in March signalled that all 22 governments want 
to see an end to the
conflict with Iraq. Saudi Arabia and Iraq have since reopened their border at Arar and 
Saudi businessmen are
selling their wares in Baghdad. Iraq has agreed to return Kuwait's national archives 
and to discuss the issue
of missing Kuwaitis. Iran and Iraq have accelerated the exchange of refugees. Syria 
has normalised its
relations with Iraq. Lebanon has done the same. Hardly a week passes without Turkish 
and Jordanian officials
and business delegations visiting Iraq. Jordan's national airline flies five times a 
week between Amman and
Baghdad. Airlinks exist between Damascus and Baghdad. Iraqi Kurdistan maintains 
contacts with Baghdad at
scientific, cultural and sports levels and tries to make the best out of its present 
(albeit tenuous) local
stability. Iraq's political and economic isolation in the Middle East is all but over.

A wave of senior US visitors has tried to dislocate these trends towards normalisation 
and reconciliation in this
troubled region. The US administration has put the UN secretary general on a short 
leash in his meetings with
the Iraqi authorities. The only topic worthy of discussion according to the Americans 
is the return to Iraq of
the UN arms inspectors. This became most apparent during the recently concluded talks 
with the Iraqis in
Vienna.

Europe is increasingly uncomfortable with this unilateral insistence on solving the 
Iraqi conflict militarily. In
varying degrees the same applies to countries in the Middle East. Saudi Arabia has 
served notice that the
Sultan air base near Riyadh will not be available for a new US offensive against Iraq. 
Under severe US
pressure, Qatar has agreed to permit the transfer of logistics from Saudi Arabia to 
its territory. A political
crisis is looming in Jordan as a result of US demands to use Jordan as a possible 
staging area in a war against
Iraq. A similar debacle will face the Turkish government once the prime minister, 
Bulent Ecevit, decides to
relinquish his post and fresh elections are scheduled. An entire region is being 
destabilised to suit American
preferences for political change in Iraq.

Concurrently, a systematic dis- and mis-information campaign, one of the biggest ever 
undertaken by the US
authorities, is intensifying. The US and the international public are being sedated 
daily with increasing doses
of propaganda about the threat Iraq poses to the world in 2002. In the forefront of 
those advocating war
against Iraq has been the US deputy secretary of defence, Paul Wolfowitz, who sees a 
military solution as
the only option. On July 14 he stated in Istanbul: "President Bush has made it clear 
how dangerous the
current Iraqi regime is to the United States and that it represents a danger we cannot 
live with indefinitely."

To make such statements without offering supporting evidence is irresponsible. It 
promotes government-
induced mass hysteria in the US and is meant to garner bipartisan support for military 
action. A war on Iraq
justified by conjecture is politically foolish and morally repugnant. In the words of 
the Archbishop of Wales,
Dr Rowan Williams: "It is deplorable that the world's most powerful nations continue 
to regard war, and the
threat of war, as an acceptable instrument of foreign policy."

The US Department of Defence and the CIA know perfectly well that today's Iraq poses 
no threat to anyone
in the region, let alone in the United States. To argue otherwise is dishonest. They 
know, for example, that
al- Dora, formerly a production centre for vaccine against foot and mouth disease on 
the outskirts of
Baghdad, and al-Fallujah, a pesticide and herbicide manufacturing unit in the western 
desert, are today
defunct and beyond repair. The UN concluded the former had been involved in biological 
agent research and
development and the latter in the production of materials for chemical warfare. UN 
disarmament personnel
permanently disabled al- Dora in 1996. During a visit with a German TV crew to al-Dora 
in mid-July - a site
chosen by me and not the Iraqi authorities - I found it in the same destroyed 
condition in which I had last
seen it in 1999. Al-Fallujah was partially destroyed in 1991 during the Gulf war and 
again in December 1998,
during operation desert fox. In between a UN disarmament team disabled all facilities 
in any way related to
weapons of mass destruction there, including the castor oil production unit. My visit 
this month disclosed
beyond any doubt that the castor oil unit was inoperable. Remnants of other production 
facilities are used to
manufacture herbicides and pesticides for plant protection and household use.

One does not need to be a specialist in weapons of mass destruction to con clude that 
these sites had been
rendered harmless and have remained in this condition. The truly worrying fact is that 
the US Department of
Defence has all of this information. Why then, one must ask, does the Bush 
administration want to include
Iraq in its fight against terrorism? Is it really too far-fetched to suggest that the 
US government does not
want UN arms inspectors back in Iraq? Do they fear that this would lead to a political 
drama of the first order
since the inspectors would confirm what individuals such as Scott Ritter have argued 
for some time, that Iraq
no longer possesses any capacity to produce weapons of mass destruction? This indeed 
would be the final
blow to the "war against Iraq" policy of the Bush administration, a policy that no one 
else wants. The Iraqis
would be well advised to seize this opportunity and open their doors without delay to 
time-limited arms
inspectors, thereby confirming that they indeed have nothing to hide.

This would make a US war against Iraq next to impossible and start the long journey 
towards the country's
return to normality. What was it that Paul Wolfowitz said on the west front of the US 
Capitol on April 15?
"May God bless all the peacemakers in the world." He still has a chance to be among 
them.

� Hans von Sponeck was the UN humanitarian aid coordinator for Iraq from 1998-2000 and 
has just returned
from a two-week stay in Iraq

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