-Caveat Lector-

Monday, 22 July, 2002, 12:14 GMT 13:14 UK
Net weathers WorldCom fallout


WorldCom's network girdles the globe

Browsing the web is not going to get slower and your e-mail messages are not
going to take longer to arrive now that WorldCom has gone into bankruptcy
protection.
WorldCom controls almost 30% of the biggest net cables in the US but these
wires are to be kept operating as the telecoms giant refinances its
business.
Experts predict that there is more than enough spare capacity to soak up the
data needs of WorldCom's customers should the financing fail and the company
sell off or shut down its network.
European customers seem to have little reason to worry. WorldCom's
subsidiaries outside the US have declared that they will continue trading
normally.
Damage limitation
WorldCom's strategy of aggressive acquisition has put it to the top of many
tables listing who owns or runs most networks.
Research by US consultancy Telegeography shows that WorldCom runs 30% of the
capacity of the 20 biggest backbone networks in the US. This is more than
the combined totals of four of its biggest rivals.

WorldCom boss Sidgmore said its network would keep running

The research also shows that WorldCom controls or gives net access to more
than 3,400 networks around the world. Its rivals AT&T and Sprint each
control barely half as many.
But the figures reveal that despite WorldCom's size it still does not have a
controlling share of the net's data cables.
The internet is arranged as a network of networks. There is no single cable
that connects all parts to every other.
This makes the network very good at handling congestion caused by, for
example, the sudden disappearance of cables because there are many
alternative routes for traffic to travel.
Problems might arise if WorldCom suddenly decided to turn off its network
and abandon its customers.
In June 2000, WorldCom's network suffered an outage that meant delays for
traffic right across the US portion of the internet.
Internet "weather reports" from that date show latency, or delays, creeping
up as the WorldCom network struggled to cope with the amount of network
traffic passing through it.
Bandwidth boom
But, so far, it looks unlikely that WorldCom will suddenly turn off its
cables.
"You do not tend to see black holes opening up," said a spokeswoman for the
London Internet Exchange (Linx) - where the UK's net service providers swap
traffic.
She said that because WorldCom was seeking bankruptcy protection, its
network would keep running.
"Networks do not just disappear," she said. "They tend to run until someone
takes over that particular network."
She said that the experience people had with KPNQwest was likely to be
repeated.
Although that network was recently threatened with closure, it kept going
for a month before it started to be turned off.
But even if WorldCom did flip the switch, the impact is likely to be slight
because many of WorldCom's customers are probably already looking for
alternative suppliers of net access.
As a result, a sudden switch-off would inconvenience far fewer people.
Finally, the boom in dot.coms and all things internet has produced an over
supply of network capacity.
Telegeography estimates that in 2001, there was five times more cable
capacity available than was actually being used.
The disappearance of WorldCom would barely dent that huge glut.

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