-Caveat Lector-

Here's the story Mermaid referenced.

http://www.mirror.co.uk/news/allnews/page.cfm?objectid=12184151
&method=full&siteid=50143


Monday 9 September 2002


SADDAM COULD BUILD NUKE IN MONTHS
By Neil Roberts Iraq could build a nuclear weapon within months,
defence analysts warned today - but only if it could steal radioactive
material from abroad.

Saddam's scientists are several years away from being able to
produce the fissile component needed for a nuclear bomb on their
own, the International Institute for Strategic studies said in a report.
"If Saddam were able to obtain fissile material from abroad, steal it
or buy it in some way, we certainly believe he has the ability to put
together a nuclear weapon very quickly, in a matter of months," said
report author Dr John Chipman

The group also warned Saddam had stockpiled hundreds of tonnes
of chemical weapons and deadly nerve gas to defend Iraq against
invasion.

But the report said these would not be a decisive threat to opposing
military forces, who would wear protective suits, though they could
disrupt logistical operations and threaten civilian populations.
Dr Chipman said he did not believe Saddam Hussein had given up
developing weapons of mass destruction:

"War, sanctions and inspections have reversed and retarded, but
not eliminated, Iraq's nuclear, biological and chemical weapons
and long-range missile capacity, nor removed Baghdad's enduring
interest in developing these capabilities," he said.

"Wait, and the threat will grow," he warned. "Strike, and the threat
may be used.

"This strategic dossier invites governments and the public to make
an early assessment of the relative risks of these different options
and to choose a course that has the best chance of promoting
regional and international security."

Commenting on the report, Conservative leader Iain Duncan Smith
warned that Saddam Hussein could be able to threaten the United
Kingdom "if we don't take action now".

Mr Smith told Sky News: "the evidence is there and that more will
emerge that shows us that Saddam Hussein is a clear and growing
danger to his neighbours and to the West, including the United
Kingdom."

A spokeman for Mr Blair said: "This is clearly a very serious piece of
work.

"It paints a powerful picture of a highly unstable regime, with access
to biological and chemical weapons."

He also revealed the dossier promised by Mr Blair, documenting
evidence against Iraq, will not be released this week.

"There is still a debate and discussion going on about precisely what
we can and can't include. Obviously when it comes to intelligence
there is always a very serious issue about how it should be
produced without jeopardising your sources," the spokesman said.
Meanwhile delegates at the TUC congress at Blackpool are
expected to oppose military action in Iraq in a debate on the conflict.
The Prime Minister is due to address the conference tomorrow.

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