-Caveat Lector-

http://www.transnational.org/pressinf/2002/pf159_DenmarkCrossroads.html

Denmark, the vassal state:foreign policy and research at a crossroads

PressInfo # 159

September 10, 2002

By Jan Oberg, TFF director

Denmark, like many traditional allies of the United States, will have to
rethink and reorient its foreign and security policies away from dependence
upon the United States. For countries that have held the United States as
their role model and authority in security affairs - and as a sort of
protective father figure - the rapid demise of the United States as a
responsible and respected super power is so shocking that it is likely to be
denied.

The regime of George W. Bush represents a very dangerous combination of
historically overwhelming physical power, intellectual poverty, and
decreasing legitimacy in the eyes of the rest of the world. Responsible
powers, big or small, look in vain to Washington for leadership or vision.
They must begin to learn to stand on their own feet.

At the end of the old cold war, a wealth of new possibilities arose to
create a peaceful, united Europe, to resolve conflicts with a minimum of
violence, and to eliminate nuclear weapons. With the dissolution of the
Soviet Union and the Warsaw Pact, which were NATO's official "raison
d'etre", the dissolution of NATO should have been the natural course of
events, and it could have opened doors to something completely new. With
this and many other opportunities lost, the world has become a much more
dangerous place without leadership.



Denmark's missed opportunities at the end of the Cold War

Analyses of alternatives to NATO and of peaceful conflict resolution in the
EU region weren't performed. Successive Danish governments, dominated by
Social Democrats, handed Denmark the role of going out in the world as a
hyperactive interventionist and loyal mini-militarist. Denmark supported
NATO's expansion to "Greater NATO" without a doubt and refrained from
pushing for a change to the alliance's absurd, undemocratic nuclear strategy
which is also contrary to international law. And it supported humanitarian
interventions, as they were euphemistically called.

While during the Cold War Denmark was a "footnote nation", that could among
other things work towards nuclear weapons-free zones and had her own
opinions in quite a few respects, in the 1990s the discrete critical thought
and voice of the Danes became silent. Paradoxically, that was exactly when
it had become much more possible to bring it forth.



Bombing, interventions and follow-my-leader

It must be seen as a fundamental breach of the decades of peace politics -
and as quite non-Danish - that Denmark de facto went to war for the first
time since 1945 when her F16 planes took part in the shameful bombing of
Yugoslavia. This occurred after 8-9 years of conflict between the various
parties in former Yugoslavia, during which self-contained conflict analysis
was completely ignored by Danish foreign policy decision-making circles.
Denmark could have taken Danish or joint Nordic peace initiatives, in that
Denmark enjoyed special goodwill in the Balkans. It didn't do so.

Instead Denmark backed up the US and called up Brussels to find out what the
heavyweights running the Common Foreign and Security Policies of the EU felt
that Danish opinion should be. Denmark was told, among other things, to be
of the opinion that a premature and selective recognition of Slovenia and
Croatia (against which the UN Secretary-General and leading international
diplomats in Yugoslavia warned in the strongest terms) was the correct
course. It ensured that Bosnia-Herzegovina was doomed to inevitable warfare.

Naturally, self-contained analysis and attempts at mediation could also have
brought Denmark into disfavour with the EU, NATO and Washington. Denmark's
loyalty, it appears, lay with these organisations, rather than with those
who suffered in the Balkans. It was a policy based upon intellectual
complacency, bordering on defeatism. The consequences are well-known but
little discussed; where the West has intervened, it is now more ethnically
clean than previously, few refugees have returned home, and there is talk of
"peace" only under heavy international military control. In Kosovo, the
international community has put itself in prison and co-operates daily with
extremists and presumed Albanian war criminals, who are hardly without
connections to Europe's drug dealers and Afghanistan.

In the wake of the bombings of Yugoslavia came EU militarisation. The main
cause was that the U.S. through its infiltration (OSCE, CIA, MPRI,
NATO-KLA ) had taught Europe a lesson: after ten years Europe could
obviously not clear up the problems in its own backyard by itself. That
humiliation, along with those earlier in Bosnia and Croatia, sits deep
within EU foreign policy leaders who like to envision the EU's future as
that of a super power in the world community.

The EU's foreign policy administration includes Javier Solana, who as NATO's
then secretary-general bears the highest civil responsibility for the
bombings of Yugoslavia. These bombings were contrary to international law.
The proportion of the Yugoslav population that was killed was three times
greater than the proportion of the American population that died in the
terrorist activities of 11 September. In any case, it can be expected that
it is now just a question of time before the Danish legendary reservation
against participating in military EU co-operation is extinguished,
particularly since the Socialist People's Party (SF) and the Unity List
(Enhedslisten) party seem to have also decided to throw out all alternate
ideas.



Greenland, BMD and Echelon: don't ask questions!

Denmark has also chosen to practise compliance by not expressing misgivings
over the idea of a ballistic missile defence, BMD, over the United States.
Those who have understood the fundamentals of strategic theory, including
former US Secretary of Defence McNamara in his eminent book Wilson's Ghost,
know that there is only one thing to say about the consequence of such an
insane idea - namely, that it will only increase the risk of a new nuclear
arms race, nuclear proliferation and nuclear war.

Denmark is in a particularly advantageous position to oppose this mad policy
since, as is a well-known fact, the BMD project relies on the Thule facility
in Greenland. But it doesn't oppose it. However, this is a continuation of
Denmark's policies as she doesn't distance herself from being a host country
for Echelon and other electronic listening posts, which affronts a series of
moral standards including those of personal privacy. (One must take for
granted that this manuscript will be registered by American intelligence
agencies, when it is sent as an e-mail and posted on the Internet. The same
applies to all fax and phone communication, in practice every time you use
them).



The roles of Danish security intellectuals

An extremely good opportunity for a more stable international system and
genuine peace in Europe was wasted on hurried new experiments. Very few
intellectuals were granted (or took) the chance to generate a variety of
models for how the new Europe could develop. The old cold war mentality
remained deeply entrenched in both foreign ministerial and academic circles.
There were even those who believed that the war and the weapons had changed
character, had become purely symbolic or would lose their importance;
warfare would belong to a kind of "discourse" but would not have a real
political or military meaning. L'art pour l'art, one might say - not only
practically useless, but directly legitimising the development of the global
serial war we are now witnessing.

The architects of rearmament and war must have been amused by the
declarations of irrelevancy issued by these intellectuals in one of the most
crucial moments of contemporary history.

Danish mainstream foreign and security policy decision-making circles -
diplomats, intellectuals and journalists - had basically studied only
American textbooks on international politics and strategic problems. They
had either studied in the USA or had been on delegation/study visits to
NATO's headquarters or to any of the other centres of power that not only
controlled the weapons and policies but also (possibly for the most part)
influenced the minds and shaped the politically correct views of the vassal
states. Independent minds and free voices were few and far between.

Another group within the present security policy elite grew out of the
antinuclear, green and pacifist movements' "rebellion" in the 1970s and the
1980s. With the cold war's end they swung, as did for example the present
German foreign minister Fischer, 180 degrees and supported the new foreign
and security policy's philosophy. They saw the war as unthinkable, symbolic
or as discourse and therefore, they saw it, as an opportunity for them to
play both Real politicians and humanists. Humanitarian intervention became a
nice opportunity to preserve some idealism and make a career in the foreign
policy establishment. This project has now been capsized by the Western
elite's own balkanisation and its new cold war against terrorism, which has
replaced the old one against communism. It goes without saying that few of
these intellectuals ever contemplated going to war zones to find out facts
and form their own perspectives. Acquiescing states know how to nurture and
reward their acquiescing scholars.



Separation anxiety at the crossroads

The rift over the Atlantic grows day by day. Popular protests and peace
movements, although they are still like Davids vis-à-vis the Goliath of
propaganda, are mobilising (even if you don't see it in your local daily).
The American solo approach has not only humiliated the EU but also NATO, an
alliance presently in a deep identity crisis. The father figure is turning
ugly.

If the Bush regime pushes the United States further towards the right,
towards potential fascism, towards isolationism, nuclearism, interventionism
and war, it will, sooner or later along this slide, become politically and
ethically impossible for countries like Denmark to follow the US line with
the same obedience. Independent analyses that take into account other
perspectives than US-Western ones and which are deeply respectful of other
cultures and religions will be dearly needed in the field of foreign and
security policy research.

Danish ministry staff and experts are badly prepared for this rapid global
change. They have never gained knowledge about or empathy for non-Western
dimensions of security and foreign affairs. They have not explored other
ways of seeing global problems and the role of their own countries as seen
by others living in the world. In the past, there was basically one
politically correct mode of explanation - one that served status quo and
Western interests. The US was Europe's protector, which one really shouldn't
provoke.

After 1989, the USA was also the only superpower. That represented an
attractive truth; if, as a politician and intellectual, you could repeat the
Master's lesson correctly and with academic weight you would be rewarded,
included, and gain status as well as grants.

All this had a price, of course: the negation of the free mind and
intellectualism itself, and the merger of intellectualism/expertise and the
power of the State. It served the old paradigm, the old legitimacy and the
old status quo. There was only one problem ahead: what if the world out
there suddenly changes? And that's exactly what it did.

(To be continued in PressInfo # 160)

Translation by Theresa Marlan, Reinell Larkin and Sara E. Ellis

© TFF 2002

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