-Caveat Lector- http://www.stratiawire.com/



WAR AGAINST IRAQ?

SEPTEMBER 11. A year after the WTC and Pentagon attacks, the White House is making all sorts of strange noises about a war on Iraq. What is going on? I have a few preliminary thoughts, which I hope to update as developments proceed.

Does Bush really intend to invade Iraq with ground troops and move into Baghdad? Does he intend to take out Saddam by that strategy? Does he then intend to oversee the long, long process of installing a government there that looks something like a democracy?

One thing is for sure. Don’t believe for a second that the White House plans to wipe out Saddam and then go away and leave the future of Iraq to “natural evolution.” That is not going to happen. Because Iraq is a major supplier of oil.

So even if planes bombed Iraq and killed Saddam in the process, a dominating presence on the ground would have to be instituted, to keep the oil protected and flowing. Such a ground force would have to deal with the entire Iraqi population.

There is another problem. There are at least several fake Saddams walking around, doubles inserted into the scene to protect Saddam against assassination. Will US troops really be able to track the real one?

It is possible that the actual Saddam, a long-time asset of the US military/intelligence establishment, has been persuaded that the moment for an end-game has arrived. One of his doubles will be killed, and he—the real Saddam--will be secreted in a remote location to enjoy the rest of his life.

Don’t discount this as “too weird.” Credible evidence exists to suggest that there were several Oswalds in play in the lead-up to the JFK assassination, and there are also reports of more than one McVeigh in OKC.

In fact, at the moment, in the absence of any other surrogate nation that could run Iraq after a sustained US attack there and a subsequent US departure, I would have to say that this fake-double scenario is the most likely tactic. In which case, the true Saddam, with approval from a high-level coterie of planners outside Iraq (not including Bush), would prepare a future Iraqi government friendly to Western oil needs, and then exit to some island paradise…

If Bush defers to Congress in his effort to take a war to Iraq, and if Congress turns thumbs down, Bush can always back off and privately breathe a sigh of relief, like a man who finds a trap-door through which to escape after painting himself into a corner.

This is a strange one.

We’ll see. Stay alert.





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