-Caveat Lector-

>From http://www.fairvote.org/library/geog/congress/minorityrules.htm

The Potential for Minority Rule in U.S. Congressional Elections

September 2001



More than a century ago, John Stuart Mill explained how it was misleading to describe a
winner-take-all election system as "majoritarian" because "a majority of a majority is 
not
the same as a majority of the whole."

Here's what he meant. Suppose each representative has been elected by a majority in a
single-member district. Suppose a very controversial item of legislation is voted on 
and that
it passes by one vote in the legislature. This legislation theoretically could have 
the support
only of those voters who had elected the representatives supporting the legislation. 
If that
were true, all the voters who did not help elect one of these representatives - 
perhaps 75%
or more - would be denied their policy preference.

Such a polarized breakdown of voters is unlikely, but the broader point is a powerful 
one:
that winner-take-all elections in no way ensure passage of policy supported by the 
majority.
This potential is exacerbated in the United States by three particular trends: 1) voter
turnout is extremely low, with barely a third of American adults voting in 
congressional
races in off- presidential years; 2) most general elections are not competitive due to
partisan imbalance and to how single-member districts are shaped in redistricting, 
which in
turn makes the even-lower-turnout party primary the most important election in most
districts; 3) more races are being won without a majority of the vote, particularly in
primaries. Minority rule is even more likely to occur in the U.S. Senate, given its 
great
divergence from the principle of one person, one vote because each state has two
Senators, regardless of population.

We received the analysis below from a long-time Internet democracy activist who has
compiled statistics on potential minority rule in the U.S. House of Representatives 
and the
U.S. Senate based on the November 2000 elections and, in the case of the Senate,
elections in 1996 and 1998 as well. Note that his analysis does not factor in the 
problems of
our low turnout and non-competitive general elections, but still indicates that a 
particular
bill could pass the U.S. House with the support of only 26% of voters and the the U.S.
Senate with the support of only 11% of voters. We plan to post similar analyses about 
state
legislatures this fall.

>>>Lots more at site<<< >>>Go there for the whole shebango<<<
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
A<>E<>R
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Forwarded as information only; I don't believe everything I read or send
(but that doesn't stop me from considering it; obviously SOMEBODY thinks it's 
important)
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In accordance with Title 17 U.S.C. section 107, this material is distributed without 
charge or
profit to those who have expressed a prior interest in receiving this type of 
information for
non-profit research and educational purposes only.
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"Always do sober what you said you'd do drunk. That will teach you to keep your mouth
shut."
--- Ernest Hemingway

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