-Caveat Lector-

>From http://www.kansascity.com/mld/kansascitystar/4567810.htm

Posted on Thu, Nov. 21, 2002

U.S. investigates Iraq's study of Yugoslavia's tactics

By SLOBODAN LEKIC
The Associated Press

BELGRADE, Yugoslavia - As the Bush administration considers war with Iraq, concerns are
emerging that Baghdad has been studying low-tech countermeasures that Yugoslavia used
to foil U.S. air strikes against its military in 1999.

"That's a matter of serious and legitimate concern," said retired Gen. Wesley Clark, 
who as
NATO commander led the 78-day bombing campaign aimed at expelling Yugoslav forces
from the mainly ethnic Albanian region of Kosovo, where they were engaged in a campaign
of ethnic cleansing.

NATO prevailed by destroying infrastructure and government buildings in Yugoslavia -- 
but it
did little real damage to the Yugoslav military in Kosovo.

Before he was ousted in October 2000, President Slobodan Milosevic cooperated closely
with Iraqi President Saddam Hussein's regime. Yugoslav advisers helped revamp Baghdad's
air defense system, and officers of Iraq's Air Defense Command toured Yugoslav bases to
study the Kosovo war.

"The war (in Kosovo) proved that a competent opponent can improvise ways to overcome
superior weaponry because every technology has weaknesses that can be identified and
exploited," said Cedomir Janjic, an air force historian.

On Tuesday, the U.S. Embassy in Belgrade confirmed that a group of American military
experts was in Yugoslavia to determine what benefits Hussein's military had derived 
from
its cooperation with Milosevic's regime.

Clark identified several ways in which Yugoslav experience could prove valuable to the
Iraqis.

The most significant, he said, was the ability of Yugoslavia's air defenses to foil 
NATO
electronics by using different radar frequencies and profiles, and by using "passive
tracking" systems that do not give off radiation.

Despite NATO's air supremacy, it never succeeded in knocking out the air defenses. They
remained a potent threat throughout the conflict, forcing attacking warplanes to 
altitudes
above 15,000 feet, where they were safe from surface-to-air missiles but far less 
effective
in a ground attack.

"We were always aware we were being tracked and monitored by them," Clark said.

NATO won the war in June 1999, after Milosevic's decision to withdraw his largely 
intact
army from Kosovo, and after the extensive destruction of bridges, government buildings 
and
other infrastructure throughout Yugoslavia.

In contrast, the effects of heavy bombing on the Yugoslav forces in Kosovo were 
minimal.
British ordnance experts who inspected the battlefields after the war determined that 
only
14 tanks and a handful of armored vehicles were destroyed in nearly three months of
bombing.

The Yugoslavs had dispersed their heavily camouflaged units, thus conserving their 
assets
for the expected alliance ground assault, and used decoys and other mock targets to
deceive the attackers.

Iraq was quick to pursue insight from that conflict.

Teams of Iraqi intelligence officers rushed to Yugoslavia in the aftermath of the war 
to visit
command centers and air defense sites. Many toured Belgrade's Aviation Museum,
inspecting destroyed drones, cruise missiles and the remnants of U.S. F-16 Falcon and 
F-
117 Nighthawk stealth fighters.

"Although they wore civilian suits, it was obvious they were Iraqi military," said 
curator
Drasko Kostic.

Meanwhile, Yugoslav technicians were reportedly upgrading Iraq's fiber-optics
communications network, allowing commanders real-time control of all units. They 
modified
launchers of SA-6 surface-to-air missiles with optical tracking equipment to allow 
them to
hit targets without using ground guidance radars, and added fuel cells to SA-3 
missiles to
extend their range to reach high-flying U-2 spy planes.

Over Iraq, U.S. and British pilots enforcing no-fly zones soon noticed a new 
aggressiveness
in the air defenses, which began challenging them on a daily basis. Although numerous
command bunkers and missile batteries were hit in retaliatory strikes, the Iraqis also
managed some successes by downing reconnaissance drones and damaging a U-2.

Clark said that Yugoslav advisers had enabled the Iraqis to reduce the "effects of
weaponry" and passed on "what works and what doesn't in the art of camouflage."

He noted that the Yugoslavs had demonstrated great skill at hiding their armor, guns 
and
infantry in towns and villages.

"That will certainly be of great interest to the Iraqis," Clark said. "We shouldn't be 
surprised
to find Iraqi forces in mosques, schools and homes."

The White House is said to have settled on a war plan calling for massive air strikes 
on air
defenses and key military facilities. But this could quickly unravel if Hussein's 
commanders
-- like Milosevic's -- shield their forces from the strikes and engage the invaders in 
a long
and bloody ground war in cities.

Analysts say the parallels with Kosovo are far more relevant to a possible conflict 
than the
much-touted victory against the Taliban, arguably the most primitive army in the world.

"We realize that a conflict with Iraq will not be like...Afghanistan," said retired 
Rear Adm.
Stephen Baker of the Center for Defense Information in Washington.

"Our tactics should be driven by what we learned in Kosovo," he said.







� 2001 kansascitystar and wire service sources. All Rights Reserved.



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