-Caveat Lector-

http://www.hindustantimes.com/news/181_114912,0005.htm

War with Iraq could cost US nearly $2 trillion over a decade
Press Trust of India
Washington, December 6

War with Iraq could cost the United States anywhere from $99 billion to more than $1.9
trillion over a decade, researchers concluded in a study.

In the worst case, a war could consume the equivalent of an entire federal budget for 
one
year or close to that, according to the projections. The government spent $2 trillion 
in the
last budget year, which ended September 30.

The lower figure assumes a successful military, diplomatic and nation- building 
campaign
and the higher figure a prolonged war with a disruption of oil markets and a US 
recession,
said the American Academy of Arts and Sciences study released yesterday.

Both figures assume a US involvement in the country for 10 years.

White House spokesman Gordon Johndroe said it was too premature to comment on cost
estimates. "War is the last resort," he said. "We're hoping for a peaceful solution."

Direct military spending could be $50 billion in a short campaign to $140 billion in a
prolonged war, according to the study, "War With Iraq: Costs, Consequences and
Alternatives."

The macroeconomic impact, which includes employment, could benefit the United States by
$17 billion, or in an unfavourable situation, cost $391 billion.

The American Academy of Arts and Sciences, founded in 1780 and based in Cambridge,
Massachusetts, is an international society of scientists, scholars, artists, business 
people
and political leaders.
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