From:   "Gunter, Lorne (EDM_EXCHANGE)", [EMAIL PROTECTED]

appeared in the Edmonton Journal (Canada) Wednesday 22 November 2000

headline: Stats on handguns tell the story: They're a murderer's preferred
firearm despite 66 years of registration 

The homicide stats are in. The homicide stats are in.

``Gee,'' you say, embarrassed for me, shifting your gaze from side to side
to avoid making eye contact. ``Gunter, you have a very ghoulish sense of
glee.''

And you'd be correct, if my interest in the national murder statistics had
anything to do with the murders behind the numbers. But it doesn't. 

Rest assured, I take no delight in the fact that 536 Canadians were murdered
last year.
 
There is some genuine good news in the statistics for 1999, though. The
numbers of homicides fell by 22 from 1998. And the murder rate, at under two
people in 100,000, is, according to Statistics Canada, at ``its lowest level
since 1967.''

Thankfully, murder remains a relatively rare crime in Canada. It is still
about 40 per cent above where it was in 1960. Yet it is nowhere near the
peak of nearly three persons per 100,000 (almost double the current rate)
achieved in 1975.

Our murder rate, like the murder rates of most industrialized countries,
shot up in the late 1960s, reached its zenith in the mid- to late-70s, and
has been trending downward since. In Canada, even in this current election,
the Liberals have credited their 1977 gun law for this improvement. But
since the trend is common to almost all developed countries, and most of
them didn't have our 1977 gun laws, the Liberals' self-congratulatory
explanation seems improbable, to say the least.

No, the cause is more likely demographic.

The huge generation of the postwar baby boom, which was common to most
developed nations, began in 1946 and entered its prime murdering years (18
to 30) in 1964. 

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