At 02:36 PM 3/20/03 +0000, Ken Brown wrote:
>Despite what Eric Cordian and others have said here, I think it
unlikely
>that there will be a big body-bag outcome for the US. The force balance

>is so overwhelmingly one-way, and most Iraqis really don't want the
>current Ba'athist government. A lot of them will give up quickly. Could

>be wrong of  course.
>...
>Large-scale House-to-house fighting unlikely.

Iraqis don't have that Bill of Rights bullet item that bars troops in
houses.
Picture a few tens of K of lone (or paired) well armed RK loyalists
holed up in spare
rooms with families.   Whose job is to impede progress into the city.
Who know they are eventual toast if the locals are no longer held by
fear.


>And in a 1-party plutocracy like Iraq, that means with the Ba'ath party

>still intact, maybe even including Saddam's Tikriti friends &
relations.
>They run most military & large business  organisations & huge parts of
>civil government & media.

After the city is ours, we let natural tendancies operate for a few
months.
Ie, payback time.  The citizens know who needs to hang better than we
do.
The blind eye lets the eye-for-an-eye cleanse society.

We'll of course save a few of the bigger trophies for wartrial
photo-ops.

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