Tim May wrote:

>Yes, a bunch of "ideas futures" markets have existed for nearly a 
>decade. An acquaintance of mine, Robin Hanson, was actively promoting 
>such things in the late 80s and may have been involved in some of the 
>Extropians-type markets which arose a few years later (I recollect 
>several efforts with varying degrees of success).

Yes, Robin Hanson worked on DARPA's PAM program. Here's
his e-mail about it in May 2003:

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http://www.mail-archive.com/[EMAIL PROTECTED]/msg03309.html

DARPA markets on MidEast

From: Robin Hanson 
Subject: DARPA markets on MidEast 
Date: Sat, 31 May 2003 07:27:22 -0700 

I've been involved for several years in helping DARPA to create 
some markets to help aggregate info on political, military, and 
economic changes in the Middle East, and the effect of US 
policy on such changes. For those interested, we are finally 
going public with some info on these markets: 

www.PolicyAnalysisMarket.org

Robin Hanson [EMAIL PROTECTED] http://hanson.gmu.edu
Assistant Professor of Economics, George Mason University
MSN 1D3, Carow Hall, Fairfax VA 22030-4444
703-993-2326 FAX: 703-993-2323 

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