Tim May wrote: >Yes, a bunch of "ideas futures" markets have existed for nearly a >decade. An acquaintance of mine, Robin Hanson, was actively promoting >such things in the late 80s and may have been involved in some of the >Extropians-type markets which arose a few years later (I recollect >several efforts with varying degrees of success).
Yes, Robin Hanson worked on DARPA's PAM program. Here's his e-mail about it in May 2003: ----- http://www.mail-archive.com/[EMAIL PROTECTED]/msg03309.html DARPA markets on MidEast From: Robin Hanson Subject: DARPA markets on MidEast Date: Sat, 31 May 2003 07:27:22 -0700 I've been involved for several years in helping DARPA to create some markets to help aggregate info on political, military, and economic changes in the Middle East, and the effect of US policy on such changes. For those interested, we are finally going public with some info on these markets: www.PolicyAnalysisMarket.org Robin Hanson [EMAIL PROTECTED] http://hanson.gmu.edu Assistant Professor of Economics, George Mason University MSN 1D3, Carow Hall, Fairfax VA 22030-4444 703-993-2326 FAX: 703-993-2323 -----