Hey all,

while "everything is on the table", the most frightening prospect for the other 
side may be leaning on
some friendly countries to help lower the oil price to below 70 USD per barrel 
for a while. And forcing your opponent
to fall back onto pre-80's technology is a less scary threat when the 
opponent's technology is from the late 70's anyhow.

Alternatively, it is entirely possible to exhume a few experts that help write 
payloads for K-1820's.

Cheers,
Halvar 
 

Gesendet: Mittwoch, 05. März 2014 um 10:25 Uhr
Von: "Dave Aitel" <[email protected]>
An: dailydave <[email protected]>
Betreff: [Dailydave] Line Dancing.

One thing I like about Crimea is that if you squint hard enough, you can see 
the cyber battle and it's a battle of restraint.

To wit: a while back the Syrian Electronic Army tweeted about messing with the 
SCADA systems for a power system. Doing this sort of thing kills innocent 
people, and the US has drawn a line there that says "If you go there, very bad 
things will happen to you, possibly we will just let the Isrealis kill you one 
by one with magnetic bombs, but more likely it will be something worse." (SEA 
members live in Tehran, not Damascus). Nobody has come out in public and said 
that messing with things that could potentially kill innocent people is "the 
line", but it's there and all the teams know it.

In other words, while the US isn't going to roll tanks into the Crimea, there 
is a weapon system that the US can deploy against Russia. Even damaged by 
Snowden, the Russians are massively, catastrophically outmatched at cyber and 
getting MORE outmatched over time, and they know it. At some point Utah will 
come online and the Russians have nothing to match it. And of course there is 
future payoffs from quantum computing research, which, even if everyone has the 
same fundamentals will require "hegemony-sized" levels of investment to 
implement. And everyone doesn't have the same fundamentals, to put it shortly.

Keep in mind that Obama is, for better or worse, the cyber war President. When 
he threatens your economy, when he says that "everything is on the table", he 
doesn't just mean sanctions.

-dave
P.S. Sign up for INFILTRATE[http://infiltratecon.org]. Chat about cyber war 
over an open bar filled with your peers.
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