Ha ha, no I definitely got my forecast of athletics medals wrong! But have 
a feeling all these athletics medals have come about less because of Indian 
athletes overperforming and more because of other Asian athletes 
underperforming (Neeraj Chopra being an exception). Will see if I can do a 
follow-story in the Hindustan Times on this. And thanks for all the 
feedback! :) -shijith

On Friday, 31 August 2018 08:47:49 UTC+5:30, Nikhil VJ wrote:
>
> Hi Shijith,
>
> Good analysis of the historical trend. It gives a valuable benchmark of 
> what the status quo is and where the country as a collective needs to 
> compete with its former self.
>
> After the games conclude it would be great to update the dataset and run 
> the same analysis again and see where the biggest changes in trend have 
> happened, plus a scorecard of how India fared this year as measured against 
> herself. 
>
> Later it would also be good to trace back to the causes behind sudden 
> trend changes : have there been any significant changes in the coaching 
> style? Recruiting mechanism? Renumerations? Management changes? This goes 
> for both positive as well as negative differences.
>
> Quick google search on current medals tally says:
> 13 Gold
> 21 Silver
> 25 Bronze
> One suggestion in terms of choice of words: instead of calling it as 
> prediction for coming year, call it as current benchmark/trend. They are 
> technically the same things, but impression in readers mind is different. 
> One leaves the agency for change in the stakeholder's hand whereas the 
> other makes it sound more like fate. Data is valuable both in predicting 
> the future and in changing it. Also, one of the approaches won't attract 
> rude comments in the comments stream (supposing this was being published by 
> a news platform where readers can post comments) later on, in the off 
> chance that the forecast got beat :D
>
>
> Cheers,
> Nikhil VJ
> Pune
>
> On Saturday, August 25, 2018, Shijith Kunhitty <[email protected] 
> <javascript:>> wrote:
>
>> Thanks Akash, appreciate the kind words! :) 
>>
>> On Saturday, 25 August 2018 01:44:34 UTC+5:30, AKASH MALIK wrote:
>>>
>>> Dear Shijith,
>>> This is a very interesting study, really loved it.
>>> *Dr. Akash Malik*
>>> National Manager- Health System Strengthening
>>> United Nations Development Programme
>>> 55,Lodhi Estate
>>> New Delhi-110003
>>> Mob: 91-9599088267/+91-9953419276
>>>
>>> *The three great essentials to achieve anything worth while are: Hard 
>>> work, Stick-to-itiveness, and Common sense.**Please consider the 
>>> environment before printing this email.*
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>> On Fri, Aug 24, 2018 at 9:14 AM Shijith Kunhitty <[email protected]> 
>>> wrote:
>>>
>>>> Hi everyone, just sending a link to a data story I did on the Asian 
>>>> Games.
>>>>
>>>> The athletics events at this year's Asian Games are starting this 
>>>> Saturday. In the story I try to guess how many athletics medals India 
>>>> could 
>>>> win at the Asian Games using past data. Chances are we could win fewer 
>>>> than 
>>>> we did in 2014.
>>>>
>>>> Here's the link to the story: 
>>>> https://shijithpk.github.io/asian_games_athletics/index.html .
>>>>
>>>> Parts of the story were earlier published in the Hindustan Times, just 
>>>> putting it all in one place so it's easier to read.
>>>>
>>>> Used data from IAAF.org for the story as well as IAAF's scoring tables 
>>>> <https://www.iaaf.org/news/iaaf-news/scoring-tables-2017>.
>>>>
>>>> The python code used to scrape and analyse the data is available in the 
>>>> github repo here: https://github.com/shijithpk/asian_games_athletics .
>>>>
>>>> If anyone has any questions or feedback, do let me know! -thanks, 
>>>> shijith
>>>>
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>
> -- 
> --
> Cheers,
> Nikhil VJ
> +91-966-583-1250
> Pune, India
> Website <http://nikhilvj.co.in>
> DataMeet Pune chapter <https://datameet-pune.github.io/>
> Self-designed learner at Swaraj University <
> http://www.swarajuniversity.org>
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>

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