On Wed, Oct 11, 2000 at 09:55:38PM -0500, Branden Robinson wrote:
> This grid is an oversimplification because not all states are equally
> likely. Ever taken a class in probability?
Yes I did; what's your excuse?
> You want David Welton to vote "Yes" on the first ballot because, while he
> is certain to vote "no" on the second since he "doesn't want any mucking
> about done with Debian", it is to your tactical advantage if people yes for
> AJ's amendment, making the passage of YOUR preferred form of mucking about
> more likely (and the passage of John Goerzen's resolution -- which you
> oppose -- impossible).
All true.. I did in fact recommend my preferred course of action
and I've never pretended otherwise. However, I still think it's
the course of action with the least chance of change.
> Again, proponents of the status quo are better off voting no/no, because
> AJ's resolution is statistically more likely to pass than John's.
It is, however AJ's resolution is equivalent to no change.
Hence, yes/yes, yes/no and no/no all have the same end result.
There are, in precise terms, three end results:
* no change,
* GR with Aj's amendment,
* original GR.
So for exactly no change, you're quite right. However, there are only
two real results:
* keep non-free,
* remove non-free
Anyway, I can't believe we're wasting so much time on a pointless
discussion.
Three out of four states lead to keeping non-free. Pick one path.
Hamish
--
Hamish Moffatt VK3SB <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
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