Rich Burridge wrote:
> Christian Fredrik Kalager Schaller wrote:
>> I am not saying we shouldn't take good ideas etc., from Apple, but lets
>> try to remember that Apple is basically a failure in the desktop market.
> 
> What were you smoking when you wrote this?
> 

Well, it depends on your "success metric" when talking about "failure"

Christian is right in many ways if you are talking about marketshare... 
their marketshare is in the 3-10% range (depending on who you ask) and 
has not really shown signs of exceeding that... and most of it is based 
on a historical market that Windows never really had (creative 
professionals) so Apple's track record of getting people to 'switch' is 
even worse than 3-10% might indicate.

There's recent health caused by getting out of the "switch people's 
desktop" rut and creating something new with the iPod/iTunes/etc. line 
of stuff. That brand equity has rubbed off on the desktop a bit.

But basically Apple's desktop remains a premium product for certain 
audiences, with no real chance of having 20-50% marketshare anytime soon.

GNOME could learn a lot here. Both OS X and Firefox illustrate to me 
that even with near-perfect branding, marketing, and usability, the 
"switch from A to B in the same category - same benefit to same 
audience" premise for a product will not be a blockbuster success vs. 
the market leader. While with something that's really a new category 
with no clear market leader yet, you get breakout successes - in many 
cases _despite_ bad usability, low quality, lack of marketing, and other 
issues.

That's why qualitative/disruptive difference in kind is so much more 
interesting than quantitative "betterness" along some continuous 
dimension, if your goal is to have a huge impact on lots of people.

I do think OS X has some qualitative/disruptive differences in the apps 
Apple offers, but in those cases the apps are sort of boat-anchored by 
the OS; that is, offering the apps' benefits minus having to switch to 
OS X would make the apps take off far faster. For example, if 
iTunes/iPod were Mac-only it would be much less successful.

Anyhow... you could definitely say that OS X is a design success or 
serves its audience well or has made Apple a lot of money, i.e. in many 
ways it's not a failure, not really interested in arguing that. But in 
marketshare terms it isn't the best kind of product for rapid/mass adoption.

Havoc
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