If I grant the 1% probability (which I can't), that leads to maybe 10-15 
attempts to get bingo.  In my past practice, our guard would be raised for the 
third set of requests from an external party.  The manual processes, even with 
a bribe/plant inside the CA, do work. One person cannot act alone at any part 
of the process.  No matter how persuasive, they can't force 10:19:36 AM Friday. 
 Granted, signing subordinate CAs does get procedural, but it doesn't get 
time-precise. 

About the 1%, we're talking about an air gapped process.  Each additional 
request faces logistics before it clears to get near the root that are 
influenced by multiple people.  During the attack that led to requiring serial 
entropy, hundreds of requests were submitted per second to cause the proper 
serial number to be received with the proper validity dates.  The process 
auto-approved requests within a predictable 6 seconds.  To work, it needed to 
converge the sequential serial number and the datetime values. 

I asked about the HSM relevance to the serial number of a CA or OCSP responder 
certificate. I agree with the reasons for hardware and that HSMs have better 
pRNG than sound cards.

Yeah, I saw the 00 serial discussion as well.  In my past, we issued sequential 
small serial numbers for roots and subordinates, but lately larger and random.  
I'm not coming at this defensively, rather to think about the true value added 
and whether a small serial number in a root or subordinate will mandate rebuild 
of a PKI in the future.  If we do encode it as a rule, then any CA should know 
better from that point forward, and problem solved, but I'm talking about the 
idea that the only thing better than more is more more more.

Kind regards,
Steve 

-----Original Message-----
From: dev-security-policy 
[mailto:dev-security-policy-bounces+steve.medin=verizonbusiness....@lists.mozilla.org]
 On Behalf Of Jakob Bohm
Sent: Sunday, February 14, 2016 5:08 PM
To: [email protected]
Subject: [E] Re: New requirement: certlint testing

On 14/02/2016 21:58, Steve wrote:
> While time isn't entropic and in its minutes and seconds there are 
> more variable bits than the 20 required by policies, the main 
> influences in a subordination process are air gap, limitations on the 
> number of rounds, and lack of control of the plaintext.
>

I read it as 20 *bytes* (160 bits) corresponding to the minimum supported 
serial number size in some of the standards (and the maximum ditto in too many 
versions of NSS).

> Subordination occurs with paper contracts and security officers and 
> internal auditors and sneakernet.  That produces both controls and low 
> predictability.  In my experience, an outlying case would be where an 
> external candidate for subordination receives more than two sets of 
> certificates in response to requests.
>
This would not help against the attacks I was trying to guard against (more 
below).

> In every case where practical and possible and a volume of key use 
> events are occurring, serial entropy has a value.  But in justifying 
> that you make two points I'd like to explore further:
>
> - What low-round attacks could exploit creation of a two byte 
> sequential serial in a case where the submitter does not control the 
> entire plaintext?  Or the serial number itself?  Or the submission 
> process?  The Playstation attack was not just 18 hour birthdaying, it 
> was discovery of a pliable and predictable CA issuance process.  It 
> was watching the pace of sequential serial number progression for 
> weeks, nudging it even, to get near the target number near the target 
> date.  It was flooding the system with auto-approved requests for 
> sequentially assigned serial numbers and predictable validity date/time when 
> that t-minus six seconds moment arrived.
>

Let's assume (for purposes of argument) that within the 10+ years lifetime of a 
root, a major adversary discovers an unpublished attack which requires getting 
the CA to sign a message whose hash matches some pattern, and that this can be 
achieved with a reasonable probability (say 1%) by getting the CA to sign a 
certificate with certain combinations of the requestable field values combined 
with prediction within a small (but not zero) margin of the CA selected field.

Such an adversary could quietly observe the pattern of issued certificates 
(which are public and can be observed with no active attack or active 
requests), then pay/place someone in the margins of the CA organization to 
place a calculated request at a time where the signing circumstances will be 
fairly predictable (e.g. it will probably be signed within a given 2 hour 
period, beginning 10 days after the request).  Repeat as necessary until the 1% 
bingo is hit.

> - Why does HSM vs software keys matter?  That's hypothetically, as all 
> subordinate keys are in HSMs.  The subordinate exists already, signed 
> by either a root or senior subordinate. Its own serial (arcane use of 
> AKI
> aside) isn't relevant to that which it signs.  Same question goes for 
> inner sanctum vs fielded certs.

I was trying to emphasize that the private (and thus public) keys submitted for 
signature were not generated from a lesser source, such as a CA operated web 
server with software key generation, or from a too easily compromised (i.e. 
large) part of the CA organization, or transported in a way subject to 
interference.

This of cause because those public keys contain the largest amount of entropy 
in the certificates, and the best place to introduce malicious bits of 
non-entropy.

The key storage is not as important as the fact it was generated in a provably 
secure and uncompromised way.  A later compromise of the signed key is much 
less a problem as far as attacks on the CA signature process is concerned.  
Though it might be used in a much more difficult attack on the CRL or OCSP 
signing process, by reporting (possibly
uncompromised) chosen certificate serial numbers for revocation.

>
> Ultimately, yes, do the best things everywhere, no dispute whatsoever.  
> But among us, can we share an opinion that there comes a point on a 
> cold winter night when another blanket offers no value? Rationalizing 
> two byte serials in offline processes rather than encoding their 
> prohibition into audit isn't an attempt to keep us awake worrying, 
> it's more to prevent smothering us.

This was inspired by reports (in recent weeks, on this list, maybe even in this 
thread, I don't recall right now) that some CAs had actually assigned low 
(single digit even) serials to some of the initial certificates of the types I 
mentioned.

Thus the exception was meant to allow current practice in cases where it is 
obviously completely safe, but to reign in this to such obviously safe cases in 
a way that can be routinely checked in both Mozilla monitoring and independent 
official audits.


>
> On Sun, Feb 14, 2016 at 1:48 PM Jakob Bohm <[email protected]> wrote:
>
>> On 12/02/2016 12:03, Medin, Steven wrote:
>>> There's no requestor control of validityNotBefore for an offline CA
>> signing
>>> event, and certainly none with an online CA since the Playstation attack.
>>> There's limited control of toBeSigned: CAs will grab the asserted 
>>> subject DN, public key, and toss the decorations in the PKCS#10 
>>> away.  They'll
>> amend
>>> the DN as they see fit based on vetting and any omissions and set
>> validity
>>> dates based on the moment the offline root is exposed to perform the
>> event.
>>> They're bringing multiple humans together at an externally 
>>> unpredictable time (timezone even) and day.
>>>
>>> Even though subordination can be external or beyond core PKI realm, 
>>> you can't get chosen plaintext or birthday with an offline CA.  
>>> RapidSSL was another story entirely and even though they were an 
>>> outlier, the 20-bit serial entropy that resulted was certainly 
>>> warranted at the end entity
>> tier.
>>>
>>> -----Original Message-----
>>> From: dev-security-policy
>>> [mailto:dev-security-policy-bounces+steve.medin
>> [email protected]
>>> zilla.org] On Behalf Of Jakob Bohm
>>> Sent: Thursday, February 11, 2016 1:23 PM
>>> To: [email protected]
>>> Subject: Re: New requirement: certlint testing
>>>
>>> It remains an important security measure when signing anything 
>>> requested from outside, including 3rd party sub-CA certificates, 
>>> cross certificates for the roots of other CAs, certificates for more 
>>> remote parts of the
>> CA's
>>> organization (such as certificates for the Symantec software 
>>> business
>> issued
>>> by a Symantec owned CA) etc.
>>>
>>
>> Note that the realistic variation in the validity dates (as seen from 
>> someone already well enough posed to submit requests in the first
>> place) is a lot less than the 160 bit minimum of serial number entropy.
>>
>> Just because the offline CA processes poses a significant slowdown of 
>> any attacks, it does not entirely prevent attacks that require a low 
>> number of "rounds", where each round submits 1 or more requests and 
>> awaits the signed certs.
>>
>> Hence my suggestion that as a prudent security measure, seemingly 
>> random serial numbers should still be generated for any requests not 
>> from the innermost circle of the CA operations "castle".  Examples 
>> that would be excluded would be self-signing the root certificate and 
>> signing any locally hosted major subsystems generating their keys in 
>> local high security hardware, such as some locally hosted subCAs and 
>> some OCSP responders.  However it would not be prudent for requests 
>> generated or transmitted through less secure systems, such as 
>> software-only OCSP responders or systems located off site (or just 
>> outside the doubly secured inner sanctum of the building).
>>
>> In Mozilla policy terms this would imply that Mozilla typically 
>> cannot know if such CA-related certificates are securely on-site and 
>> thus should not enforce the 160-bit randomness rules for certificate 
>> types where this exception might apply.
>>
>> However auditors *should* (perhaps in a future CAB/F BR) be required 
>> to specifically check that any low-entropy-serial-number certificates 
>> generated do in fact refer to such secure on-site systems.  As these 
>> will be low in number (perhaps less than 10), and each directly name 
>> the system they refer to, this would be a simple case of traditional 
>> by-the-numbers auditing:
>>
>>     "An automated log search (similar to the crt.sh tools but run against
>>      more complete internal logs) listed the following certificates with
>>      low entropy serial numbers: A.B, C.D, E.F and G.H, A.B is the root
>>      cert, OK. C.D is the HSM in the OCSP responder on shelf 3 in rack 2
>>      in the secure cage, OK.  E.F. (revoked) was the HSM in the old subCA
>>      on shelf 5 in rack 1 in the cage, which has been decommissioned and
>>      securely destroyed as per audited document 234, OK.  G.H is the HSM
>>      of the current off-line EV subCA on shelf 1 in rack 1 in the cage,
>>      that issues batches of end entity certificates in a daily ceremony
>>      and updated revocation data in more frequent ceremonies, OK.  All
>>      accounted for and in line with the requirement, next item."
>>
>> (Of cause the published audit would omit the specific locations of 
>> those servers, that would be in an longer internal document available 
>> only to insiders).
>>
>>
>>
>>
>>
>> Enjoy
>>
>> Jakob
>> --
>> Jakob Bohm, CIO, Partner, WiseMo A/S.  https://www.wisemo.com 
>> Transformervej 29, 2860 Søborg, Denmark.  Direct +45 31 13 16 10 This 
>> public discussion message is non-binding and may contain errors.
>> WiseMo - Remote Service Management for PCs, Phones and Embedded 
>> _______________________________________________
>> dev-security-policy mailing list
>> [email protected]
>> https://lists.mozilla.org/listinfo/dev-security-policy
>>


Enjoy

Jakob
--
Jakob Bohm, CIO, Partner, WiseMo A/S.  https://www.wisemo.com Transformervej 
29, 2860 Søborg, Denmark.  Direct +45 31 13 16 10 This public discussion 
message is non-binding and may contain errors.
WiseMo - Remote Service Management for PCs, Phones and Embedded 
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