On June 30, 2003 06:49 am, Ben Hawes wrote:
> >> P_best_dnf()*dnf_time(node,key)*htl+(P_dnf(node)-P_best_dnf())*
> >>    (dnf_time(node,key)*htl + global_success_estimate(key))
> >
> >If I factor correctly this works out to:
> >
> >P_dnf(node)*dnf_time(node,key)*htl+
> >(P_dnf(node)-P_best_dnf())*global_success_estimate(key)
>
> Abbreviations to make things easier:
> P_best_dnf() = b
> dnf_time(node,key) = t
> htl = h
> P_dnf(node) = p
> global_success_estimate(key) = s
>
> This makes the first equation
>
> bth+(p-b)th+s

Almost
  
  bth + (p-b)(th+s)
>
> Factorising 'th' out gives
>
> (b+p-b)th + s
>

bth + pth + ps - bth - bs

or

pth + ps - bs

or

pth + (p-b)s

Which is what I am using

> which obviously simplifies down to
>
> pth + s
>
>
> Filling everything back out, we get:
>
> P_dnf(node) * dnf_time(node,key) * htl + global_success_estimate(key)
>
>
>
> All mention of P_best_dnf() seems to have disappeared...either it isn't
> necessary, or you'll be wanting a different equation.
>
> I hope did that all ok... :P

You missed a bracket..

After 10 hours I am seeing about a 17% message success rate with this.
This is a good number, I would like to see more activity though.

Ed
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