On October 02, 2003 07:47 pm, Martin Stone Davis wrote:
> Ian Clarke wrote:
> > I still don't have my head around this fully yet, but I think the core
> > flaw in your proposal is that it assumes that, for a given key, the
> > pSuccess values of repeated requests to the same node are independent,
> > but they are not.  After the first failure, pSuccess for that node drops
> > to 0.
>
> Hand-wavy explanation: When trying to ask "how long will it take this
> one node to give us a 1 unit of data?" we don't have to be concerned
> about how our opinions about pSuccess will change in the future.  All
> that matters is the true value itself.  Since we don't know the true
> value, the best we can do is use our current opinion of the true value.
>
> Admission of guilt: As I wrote it, pSuccess is a bit ambiguous: is it
> the current (and changing) estimate of how likely future successes will
> be? or is it the "true" (and static) chance of success?  If the former,
> then we'd write it with a little hat on top.  If the latter, we'd
> probably use a greek symbol for it.  Since I didn't do a very
> mathematically sound derivation, it would be problematic to discuss your
> concern here in detail.

pSuccess is a function of (node,key).  It will vary for a give node depending
on the key passed.  This is what worries Ian about your suggestions.   Also
we do not just use tFailure.  The term is (tFailure+tToDoThisOnAnotherNode(key))

Ed

> Changing the subject: Let's hold off on that until I address the more
> troubling problem you raise below and I also come up with a more clear
> derivation.
>
> > Whatever the algorithm, it MUST consider the cost of re-requesting the
> > key elsewhere in one way or another - since a lower global average
> > re-request time is likely to make a sensible algorithm more willing to
> > try an unreliable but fast node, but so far as I can understand - your
> > algorithm does not consider this.
>
> I see your point.  The choice is not between the tortoise and the hare.
>   There are many tortoises and many hares!  Suppose there are only 2
> nodes to choose from.  Then, we have at least two choices: try node 1
> first, and failing that, try node 2  OR  try node 2 first, and failing
> that, try node 1.  With 3 nodes there are at least 6 choices.  With n
> nodes, there are at least n! choices.  I say "at least" because there
> are even more strategies to choose from: e.g. try node 1, and failing
> that, try node 1 again, and failing that, try node 2.
>
> So the trick is coming up with a strategy that minimizes the total
> expected time to achieve a successful result.  I'll try to work that out
> on paper and get back to you when I have something.
>
> -Martin
>
>
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