Hi Walt,

> What can amateur radio being to the table?  

Unfortunately, I think the answer is 'less and less' as time goes 
by.  As communication technology advances, the simple fact is that 
people will grow more accustomed to reasonably fast Internet access 
connected to their commodity laptops, voice communications via cell 
phones, etc.  All of this requires significant infrastructure 
(geosynchronous satellites aren't cheap!), and hence MONEY.  There's 
no way for a bunch of hams who might be willing to spend a couple 
thousand bucks on gear for themselves can compete with multi-million 
dollar military communication systems.  And when you think about it, 
since we -- the taxpayers -- are the ones paying for that 
infrastructure, shouldn't we fully expect that folks like FEMA or the 
Red Cross will be using it during disasters?  

I do encourage hams to do whatever they can to assist in emergency 
communications, and there's plenty of scenarios where they'll 
continue to be a great asset, but if I were a FEMA director I'd be 
pretty hesitant to have an official policy of relying on volunteers 
with little or no funding if I thought I could instead rely on the 
military.

I don't think that the declining use of hams for emergency 
communication particularly threatens the bands themselves (i.e., the 
FCC taking the HF bands and reallocating them).  Instead, I think the 
simple metric of whether or not the bands continue to be well used 
will have a much larger impact as to their continued existance -- a 
lot of the idealism of the amateur radio service somehow existing for 
the good of the public (rather than just as a cool little resource 
for a bunch of hobbyists to use for their own enjoyment) went away 
years ago (about the same time that people like Howard Stern started 
convincing much of the public that the FCC trying to regulate the 
content of the public airwaves was somehow an inherently bad idea).

---Joel Kolstad






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