On 6/14/2016 3:15 PM, Bill Ricker wrote:
> There's a difference between their computational model embedded in there
> somewhere.

There is. Tyson's odds are his personal opinion while Musk's "odds" are
him pulling numbers out of his ass to make catchy sound bites for the media.

The simulation hypothesis isn't testable, at least not by any measures
currently available to us, and the author of the original paper knows
it. It's a philosophical argument.

You can read more about it here:
http://www.simulation-argument.com/

-- 
Rich P.
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