> hints/suggestions as to what?

for anyone interested, the causal issue is NOT directly the one reported in the 
non-verbose output

        Error: Mailbox INBOX sync: mailbox_delete failed: INBOX can't be 
deleted.

rather, the relevant 'hint' is the

        Debug: brain M: Mailbox INBOX: ... GUIDs conflict - will be merged later

message seen only in the debug output.

In addition to

        rm -rf /data/vmail/example.com/testuser/Maildir

clearing the index data, configured here in a separate tree,

        rm -rf /var/vmail-index/example.com/testuser/*

does the trick.

backup, now, appears to complete.

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