The quantitives easing policies could contain the current market
sentiment after the recent central banks massive cuts putting pressure
on the British pound after the last week BOE cutting interest rate by
another .5% to be just .5% and its announcement that it is ready to
buy further governmental gilts to afford the governmental financing
requirements to stimulate the economy. The cable has found very easy
this time to go lower than 1.4. I have mentioned in my recent analyses
that this quantitive easing policy should put pressure on the currency
from increasing the supplied money from a side and from increasing the
budget deficit from another side which can threat total economy
creditability and the currency buying value.

In this same time, the European finance ministers have rejected new
stimulation packages in Brussels in spite of the US encouraging for
these actions which should increase the government's role changing the
current fiscal structure position in the face of the crisis. This
European refusing of widening their current budget liabilities could
underpin the single currency versus the pound and the greenback on the
market focusing on the central banks actions after reaching very low
interest rate levels and this sentiment can continue supporting the
single currency as this current European conservative position
comparing with US.

There was no data to move the currency market yesterday but we have
later this week the release of US retails sales of Feb which is
expected to fall by .4% monthly and also the US trade balance deficit
which is expected to be shrunk to 38.2b$ in Jan.

Best wishes

FX Consultant
Walid Salah El Din
E-Mail: [email protected]
http://www.fx-recommends.com

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