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The latest issue (January 2006) is now available at www.425dxn.org/monthly/
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SB PROP ARL ARLP007
ARLP007 Propagation de K7RA

Average daily sunspot numbers this week rose over 7 points to 9, but this 
doesn't mean much. Check out 
<http://www.sec.noaa.gov/ftpdir/indices/DSD.txt>http://www.sec.noaa.gov/ftpdir/indices/DSD.txt
 
to see how many days with a blank sun were noted over the last thirty days. 
Plan on seeing even longer stretches of 0 sunspots over the next year. A 
couple of years from now we should see a new cycle 24 rising faster than 
this old one declined.

Check out a great website showing sketches of sunspots drawn in 1612 by 
Galileo Galilei,
<http://galileo.rice.edu/sci/observations/sunspot_drawings.html>http://galileo.rice.edu/sci/observations/sunspot_drawings.html.
 
The coolest part is the arrangement of the sketches into a sort of 
flip-book animation, which you can view with any media player such as 
Windows Media Player or Apple QuickTime. This gives us a reproduction of 
what the sun was doing over the 35 days that Galileo made these sketches. 
What a remarkable thing.

The ARRL International DX CW Contest is on for this weekend. Sunspot 854 is 
pointing straight at us, but it is tiny. For an idea of the relative area 
covered by this spot, check the web site mentioned in the first paragraph 
above, and look at the Sunspot Area shown in the fourth column, relative to 
sunspot area in January.

Look for sunspot numbers and solar flux to rise only slightly, if at all, 
and for quiet geomagnetic conditions. Sunday, February 19 should give us 
only slightly unsettled geomagnetic conditions. Based on the previous solar 
rotation, Wednesday, February 22 looks like it may show some fairly active 
geomagnetic conditions.

Geophysical Institute Prague predicts slightly different conditions, with 
February 19 unsettled to active, and February 21 and 22 just unsettled. 
They think today and tomorrow, February 17 and 18, will be quiet. They 
predict quiet to unsettled conditions for February 20 and 23.

If you would like to make a comment or have a tip for our readers, email 
the author at, <mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED]>[EMAIL PROTECTED]

For more information concerning radio propagation and an explanation of the 
numbers used in this bulletin see the ARRL Technical Information Service 
propagation page at, 
<http://www.arrl.org/tis/info/propagation.html>http://www.arrl.org/tis/info/propagation.html.
 
An archive of past propagation bulletins is found at, 
<http://www.arrl.org/w1aw/prop/>http://www.arrl.org/w1aw/prop/.

Sunspot numbers for February 9 through 15 were 24, 13, 11, 0, 0, 0 and 15 
with a mean of 9. 10.7 cm flux was 74.8, 75.2, 76, 76, 76.3, 77.3, and 
78.5, with a mean of 76.3. Estimated planetary A indices were 2, 2, 6, 3, 
2, 1 and 12 with a mean of 4. Estimated mid-latitude A indices were 2, 2, 
4, 2, 2, 1 and 7, with a mean of 2.9.
NNNN




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Leonardo Lastrucci, IZ5FSA  has developed a software which allows to query the
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