Forwarded from the Hettinga lists.
JMR

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Status:  U
Date: Tue, 09 Oct 2001 14:06:56 -0500
To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
From: Skywave News Service <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> (by way of
[EMAIL PROTECTED])
Subject: ip: Euro Stirs Y2K-Like Concerns (1 of 2)


http://www.wired.com/news/business/0,1367,47252,00.html

Euro Stirs Y2K-Like Concerns
By Dermot McGrath

2:00 a.m. Oct. 9, 2001 PDT

PARIS -- Introducing a new currency may not be the kind of event to inspire
Hollywood blockbusters, but security experts and intelligence agencies warn
that the arrival of the euro in January 2002 has the potential for at least
a B-grade disaster movie.

Denial-of-service attacks, rampant viruses, terrorist atrocities,
cyber-fraud and money-laundering are just some of the sinister scenarios
that euro program managers are having to factor in to their contingency
plans for the currency changeover.

No one has mentioned a plague of locusts -– for the moment.

"At the time of the recent terror attacks, most enterprises had just about
finalized their preparations for the euro changeover," said Nick Jones, an
analyst and euro implementation expert with the Gartner Group. "Now the
landscape in which this final changeover will occur has changed drastically
and enterprises must revise their plans accordingly."

Jones claims that a similar terrorist attack in Europe during the euro
transition could be particularly disruptive, as could the consequences of
an actual war.

"The introduction of the euro is unprecedented in economic terms, and it
would be naive to think that there won't be individuals or groups who could
try to take advantage of the inevitable confusion stemming from the phasing
out of national currencies," Jones said.

While cyber terrorism is not believed to be a major threat come next
January, denial-of-service or virus attacks targeting Europe's financial
infrastructure and high-profile organizations cannot be ruled out, Jones
warned.

"Enterprises should be prepared for every eventuality," Jones said. "One
can just imagine the potential for chaos if Europe was struck by
denial-of-service attacks or a virus like the Nimda worm at exactly the
time that financial institutions and corporations are depending heavily on
their computer systems. Data could become corrupted during a conversion,
the unavailability of a trading partner's website could prevent end-to-end
testing, or enterprise websites for providing changeover information to
customers and employees could go down," he said.

Noel Hepworth, euro project director with the European Federation of
Accountants (FEE) said that the large number of enterprises -– estimated at
between 20 percent and 40 percent -- that had left their euro conversion
projects until the last minute was a source of concern.

"Viruses or denial-of-service attacks are undoubtedly a worry, but I think
the lack of preparedness from companies is the biggest threat to a smooth
changeover," Hepworth said. "This obviously has serious repercussions for
trade and commerce. These enterprises will be more vulnerable to whatever
problems might arise in the initial changeover period, since they'll be too
busy firefighting to worry about some of the wider concerns of the euro
changeover."

Dennis Keeling, chief executive of BASDA, the Business Application Software
Developers Association, stressed the need for all companies who do business
in Europe to remain vigilant.

"Any company trading with the euro-zone over the next few months will need
to be cautious, particularly if its customers or suppliers are not already
using the euro as a trading currency," Keeling said. "The many businesses
unprepared for the changeover risk collapse, perhaps taking their trading
partners’ money with them."

Others have warned about the massive potential for fraud when the euro
makes its official appearance in the new year.

"The introduction of the euro represents a golden opportunity for organized
crime," said John Abbott, director general of Great Britain’s National
Criminal Intelligence Service (NCIS). "During conversion, from 1 January
2002 to midway through the year, criminals will exploit public, commercial
and institutional confusion to their advantage."

Jay Valentine, ex-CEO of Infoglide Software, knows a thing or two about the
sophistication of online fraudsters; he led the team that built the
real-time cyber-fraud system for auction house eBay. He says that cyber
criminals will be rubbing their hands with glee at the prospect of the euro
changeover.

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R. A. Hettinga <mailto: [EMAIL PROTECTED]>
The Internet Bearer Underwriting Corporation <http://www.ibuc.com/>
44 Farquhar Street, Boston, MA 02131 USA
"... however it may deserve respect for its usefulness and antiquity,
[predicting the end of the world] has not been found agreeable to
experience." -- Edward Gibbon, 'Decline and Fall of the Roman Empire'

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