> > The fact is, e-gold has a Ponzi problem.
>
> I disagree.  The fact is that Ponzi schemes are fraud,
> and a problem.

Again, Jim, thanks for the opportunity to clarify.

When I say that e-gold has a Ponzi problem, I mean first and foremost that
it has a PR problem.

When I say that this problem makes e-gold look shady, I mean just that: that
it makes e-gold *look* shady.

I don't mean that e-gold *is* shady. Or that Doug Jackson et al are breaking
the law or doing something unethical, or that they should be shut down or
investigated.

Quite simply, I mean that as long as outsiders look at e-gold's user base
and see it chock full of Ponzi players and operators, they're going to be
wary of getting anywhere near it. Big retailers will shy away because they
don't want their brands tarnished by association. And consumers will shy way
because they suspect that Ponzi playing is all e-gold's good for.

Think about it. If e-gold is ever going to break out of its ghetto, it's
going to be because of practical advantages like instant clearance and
nonrepudiability. The fact that it's gold-backed, I'm afraid, means nothing
to anybody but goldbugs (and with all respect, I just don't think there are
enough of you to put DGCs over the top on your own). But what's going on
right now is that instant clearance and nonrepudiability are drawing
scammers in droves -- and nobody else in similar numbers. The message: these
are advantages only to people who want to put one over on you.

Or put it another way.

Jim, since you brought up the old a-tool-is-just-a-tool chestnut (i.e.,
hammers can be used for killing
people, guns for saving lives, and so forth), let's give those analogies a
stress test.

Say I've got some home repair to do, and I'm in the market for a hammer. My
friend and neighbor, Harry Callahan, gets wind of this and shows up at my
door with a Deluxe Turbo-HammerTM he'd like to sell me for a mere $300. He
demonstrates the tool by hammering a nail into my living-room wall -- thunk
thunk thunk, pretty much like you would with a normal hammer, only a little
more awkwardly. But man does this thing look great. "Note the craftsmanlike
nickel-plated surfacing, the fine ivory siding on the hammer's head," Harry
tells me, with a connoisseurial glance.

"And how about this fabulous automatic hole-punching feature?" says Harry.
He grabs the hammer by its head, points the base of the handle at the wall,
presses a tab just beneath the head, and voila -- with a loud bang, a
six-inch hole appears instantly in the sheetrock.

Impressed, I tell Harry I'm interested but just want to do a little shopping
around first. "No problem," says Harry. "An informed customer is the best
customer." So I head downtown, walk into a shop whose window is full of
hammers like Harry's, and find out that the generic name for Harry's model
is ".44 Magnum." I come home, look that up on the Internet, and find that
almost everybody who is buying Harry's type of hammer seems to be doing so
for the purpose of either (a) killing someone, (b) severely hurting someone,
or (c) convincing someone that they are capable of (a) or (b).

Oh, plus there's this one mailing list where a few wingnuts, apparently all
friends of Harry's, sit around extolling his hammer's virtues as an
instrument of home repair.

I conclude that Harry's hammer is probably not very well suited to my
purposes -- at least not as well as the old-fashioned hammers I'm used to.
Besides, it is awfully expensive, and using it does seem to entail
considerable risk of automatically punching a large hole in your foot.

When I tell Harry I'm taking a pass, he is crestfallen. "No one
understands," he says, staring glumly at the Deluxe Turbo-Hammer in his
hands. "This is a revolutionary product. It's a paradigm shift. It's going
to bring undreamt-of efficiencies to the universal practice of putting nails
into boards. It's going to change everything!"

"Oh you bet, Harry," I say. "Can't wait. Tell you what: come the revolution,
I'm gonna buy one. And another for the wife. Hell, I'm gonna buy a gross.
OK?"

Anything to get him away from my front door. I mean, I like the guy and all,
but he was starting to wave the hole-punching end of his hammer at me, and
frankly, I'm not so sure about his mental health anymore. Plus, has Harry
stopped bathing or something? When did he start looking so dirty?

MORAL: A tool is not just a frickin' tool. If it's a tool worth having, it's
optimized for a particular use. Otherwise we'd still just be carrying
all-purpose rocks around.

CORROLARY: If a thousand people use a tool for purpose (a), and a dozen
people use it for purpose (b), reasonable observers may conclude that the
tool's optimal use is (a).

RELEVANCE TO E-GOLD: Left as an exercise for the reader.

> > took four kinds of payment: OSgold, Evocash, PayPal,
> > and e-gold.
>
> So, why are Ponzi schemes a problem for e-gold and
> not for PayPal?

Because Peter Thiel can offer convincing evidence that gazillions of people
are using his product for purposes other than playing Ponzis, whereas Doug
Jackson cannot. Or will not. Which in the court of public relations comes to
the same thing.

On the other hand, though:

> You seem to think that PayPal doesn't look shady,
> despite the way they seem to screw over merchants
> without recourse, even though PayPal is used by
> thousands of Ponzi players.  I think you are engaging
> in the application of a double standard.

I never said PayPal didn't have its own problems. PayPal, it seems, is
impaled on the opposite horn of e-gold's dilemma. While not as liquid as
e-gold and therefore not quite as attractive to scammers, PayPal is
nonetheless scam-friendly enough that its managers feel obliged to resort to
fascistoid overkill to keep the sleaze away. This is clearly turning into a
slow-burning PR problem of their own.

> Money is just money.  It is the love of money, and
> the behavior that love of money causes, which is
> the root of evil to be torn out root and branch.

Oh, man. How could you, Jim?

I'm no libertarian, but even I know that you have just run afoul of one of
St. Ayn's most central teachings. For your penance I suggest you pick up
your well-worn copy of "Atlas Shrugged" and copy out by hand Francisco
D'Anconia's interminable speech on the inherent virtue of money and those
who truly love it. It may be found on pp. 380-385 of the Signet paperback
edition.

> So, what?  Answer JP May's question: how much money
> in e-gold is actually spent on HYIPs?  Exactly
> what percentage of e-gold's $3 million in daily
> activity is spent on HYIP activities?  How many,
> exactly, of the 11,000 spends per day is going
> through an HYIP program of any sort?  Because,
> if you are going to assert that the basis for
> your criticism is entirely that you perceive a
> low percentage of FRNs used for fraud and a high
> percentage of e-gold use for fraud then:
>
>   YOU SHOULD PROVE IT.

Jim, the only people who could conceivably give the exact percentages you
and JP want are the good folks at Omnipay/G&SR/e-gold. Unfortunately, they
can't or won't.

Which leaves us with the next best thing: the educated guesses of the
experts, the ones I already gave in my article. To review:

JP May, major exchange provider: 30 percent of daily velocity is spent on or
by Ponzis

Eric Gaither, major exchange provider: no, more like 50 to 60 percent

Claude Cormier, major exchange provider: no, 90 percent

Steve Foerster, former CTO of G&SR/Omnipay: hey, if it weren't for Ponzis,
there wouldn't be a gold economy

Now, I guess none of that is the proof you want, but surely you'll at least
concede that these kinds of estimates make it e-gold's burden to come up
with counterassertions about what generates the bulk of e-gold activity.

So what happens when I confront Doug Jackson with these figures? Does he
calmly break down the non-exchange sectors of the e-gold economy for me,
rough percentage by rough percentage? He does not. He tells me that if I
stress the Ponzi angle, e-gold will fail, the dollar will implode with no
monetary alternative available, and people may be forced to eat their own
children. And I swear to you, Jim, he was not just exaggerating for effect.


> A huge amount of the activity on e-gold, a very
> large proportion of the $3 million in daily activity
> and 11,000 spends per day is being undertaken by
> so-called market makers.  And market makers are
> not HYIPs.  I'm willing to admit that I don't know
> if market maker activity is a majority of all e-gold
> activity, and I'd like you to admit that you don't
> know that HYIP spends are a majority of e-gold
> activity, either, or show your evidence that they
> are.

All right, I admit it: I don't know that HYIP spends are a majority of
e-gold activity.

Also: I do believe market-maker activity accounts for close to the majority,
if not *the* majority, of e-gold activity.

However: I don't believe market-maker activity tells us much about who's
using e-gold and why. It tells us that a lot of people are buying into and
selling out of the e-gold economy on a daily basis. It doesn't say what
they're doing once they're in.

And: I do believe that expert guesses like those mentioned above -- as well
as circumstantial evidence like the SEC complaints against E-Biz and Cole
Bartiromo -- tell us that what people are doing once they're in is pretty
much playing those Ponzis.

> > the far greater interest of my editors in money-mad
> > Muslims --
>
> Let me take a moment to say that I really did like the
> details you offer on the e-dinar and the individuals
> who are courageously promoting it.

And let me take a moment to say that the folks at Wired, in particular my
editor Adam Fisher, did a spectacular job. I wholeheartedly agree with their
stressing the e-dinar angle, and I'm in awe of how deftly Adam helped me
hone an unwieldy, overlong story down to its essential elements.

> > The first question is Doug Jackson's horn of
> > the dilemma.
>
> No, it isn't.  Doug Jackson can grow the market for
> DGCs, and e-gold in particular, by now spending some
> quality money on a well researched and executed
> marketing program.  I would be happy to explain the
> details of marketing research, publicity, and
> advertising that should go into such a program for
> my customary fee.

In the name of all that is holy, Jim, please just waive your fee and tell
those guys how to handle their publicity. Like I said, their only real
problem is a PR problem. But it's a serious one.

Julian






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