Friends --

Over the past few decades, there has been a history of claimed sightings of 
ivory-billed woodpeckers, and until the past couple of years, the sightings 
for the most part have not been accepted as scientifically certain.  This 
changed, for better or worse, with the publication in the journal Science of 
a claim that recent sightings and sound recordings and videography of one or 
more of these birds in Arkansas prove the persistence of a species long 
thought to be extinct.  In my view, the editors of Science take 
responsibility for publication of those claims, and if further field work 
does not provide more or better evidence that the species actually persists, 
I place more responsibility on the journal than the authors of the paper 
claiming persistence.  Peer review is supposed to separate the scientific 
wheat from the chaff.

That being said, I would also state that the sightings of lone birds of this 
species does not constitute evidence of a viable population or 
meta-population, though it is suggestive that such exists.  It would seem 
extremely improbable that the rare sightings of members of a nearly-extinct  
species would be the very last surviving members of those species.  The 
mathematical odds against such a happenstance would seem formidable, if not 
astronomical.  And clearly, some very talented birders and ornithologists 
are convinced with certainty that the birds they have seen in recent years 
cannot be anything other than ivory-billed woodpeckers.

So, we have two persistence issues in play now, and they have an interplay.  
For species persistence to be assumed and validated, we need to find more 
than single birds -- we need to find breeders, pairs, and hopefully some 
sign of local populations of these birds.  This is self-evident.  This means 
that the efforts to survey for ivory-billed woodpeckers must persist and 
must occur in all places where suitable habitat remains.

Certainly there is room for skepticism about the persistence of this 
species, but it seems time to refocus from skepticism to gritty 
determination to get at the truth of this matter.  Scientific skepticism is 
appropriate as a means of getting to the truth, but when it expands into 
personality conflicts or impedes the ability to find answers to difficult 
questions it becomes counterproductive.

Some of the skeptics have actually spent personal time and resources in the 
field seeking data.
Surely that is the best approach.  If the ivory--billed woodpecker, indeed, 
was lost long ago, we have nothing to lose by doing a thorough job of 
searching for it.  And if we conserve habitat for an extinct species,  we 
will benefit biodiversity that remains there, and that is a positive result 
of this process.

It is my view that we should encourage and support an all-out effort at this 
time to survey intensively for ivory-billed woodpeckers.  Recent events have 
caused the mobilization of resources for this purpose that may never be 
available again.  It is the time now to persist in the necessary work that 
can validate the view that this species persists, and perhaps even play a 
role in enhancing the ability of the species to persist.


Stan Moore    San Geronimo, CA     [EMAIL PROTECTED]

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