>Date:    Tue, 21 Mar 2006 09:48:44 -0800
>From:    Chris Caudill <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
>Subject: transforms and CIs
>
>Hello all,
>
>Here's a question that I feel like I should know the answer to...
>
>I've conducted an ANOVA in sas on a large data set using log(e)
>transformed data.   I'd like to plot means and 95% CI's using the sas output.
>
>Is it kosher to simply back-transform the CI's (I have a nagging
>feeling that it isn't).  Thanks in advance.
>
>Chris Caudill
>
>Christopher C. Caudill
>Department of Fish and Wildlife Resources
>College of Natural Resources
>University of Idaho
>Moscow, ID 83844-1136
>208-885-7614 (voice)
>208-885-9080 (fax)
>
>http://www.cnr.uidaho.edu/UIFERL/Christopher_C._Caudill.htm
>
>NOTE NEW EMAIL:
>[EMAIL PROTECTED] 
>

It's OK to back-transform the confidence *limits*, not the confidence 
*intervals*.  Remember, you log-transformed the data because it was 
non-normal; it was log-normal, in fact.  The 95% confidence interval 
tells you that you are 95% sure the true mean lies within that 
interval.  With a symmetric, normal distribution, this interval will 
be symmetric around the mean.  Because a log-normal distribution is 
not symmetric (at least in untransformed, "real" space), the interval 
in that space won't be, either.  So what you need to do is figure out 
what the 95% upper and lower confidence limits are in log space, then 
transform those values back to real space.  Your confidence intervals 
won't be symmetric, nor should they be.
-- 

Richard L. Boyce
Department of Biological Sciences
Northern Kentucky University
Nunn Drive
Highland Heights, KY 41099 USA

859-572-1407 (tel)
859-572-5639 (fax)
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
http://www.nku.edu/~boycer/

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