Joerg,

I like your analogy, and many studies have compared fitness "landscapes" 
to your "topography" that you describe here.

Note, those are "fitness" landscapes, not "Natural Selection" 
landscapes.  So, if you are in a wide flat plane, you might compare that 
to Gould's "equilibrium" in his context of "punctuated equilibrium".  
That is, no natural selection is taking place.  You may go extinct 
because you run out of space, a disease comes along and so forth, but, 
no natural selection needs to be taking place.
> An analogy from maths (where I come from): in global optimization, if 
> you are on a wide flat plane and you have no clue in which direction to go 
> to find the valley, you are stuck with the solution you have at hand. It 
> might be a rather bad one (extinction) but anywhere you turn it doesn't get 
> (much) better.
> That doesn't mean that in many cases optimization algorithms won't work
> they do even in quite bad conditions if you have a lot of time to search. 
> So I think it just comes down to the degree of maladaptation versus the 
> likely rate of change.
And, we must understand that while "adaptation" is the process whereby 
natural selection over time (evolution) forms features that permit 
organisms to do well, we cannot think that "maladaptations" are formed 
by the same process.  Accidents (meteors, floods, continental drift, 
climate change) may make something that was once useful into something 
that is no longer useful, but the maladaptation was not made for that 
new scenario through natural selection.

So, care must be used in thinking about the process.

Cheers,

Jim

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Universidade Federal do Paraná
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