On the topic of reproduction, I offer three points.

1) I went to a talk a few years ago where the speaker presented data on 
Pakistan, I believe.
Over the course of just a decade, concerted government efforts led to 
birth rates being reduced from something like 6 births per woman to 4 - 
a phenomenal success, apparently unprecedented in a non-compulsory, 
peacetime development context.

Over the course of that same decade, surveys indicated that the desired 
number of children per woman fell from about 5 to about 3. So the 
massive reduction in fecundity was driven (or at least accompanied by) 
as massive shift in public attitudes about desired family size. The 
kicker here is that women continued to have, on average, 25% more 
children than they wanted to have. The desire for smaller families 
already exists in (at least  some) developing countries. Access to 
family planning, by itself, would dramatically lower global fertility. 
And what could be more humanitarian than allowing women to have no more 
children than they are actually willing to take care of?

2) It seems to me that those who argue that depopulation is a more 
serious threat than overpopulation (in any of the myriad ways that 
threats have been measured) would do well to support immediate measures 
for population control (i.e., free and easy access to family planning 
services) in order to reduce the magnitude of the eventual disruption of 
depopulation.

3) The anti-immigrant "cultural dilution" argument is specious - it 
presumes today's cultural moment is the one that is better than all 
previous instances of our rapidly evolving, cross-pollinating cultures. 
Compare cultural snapshots through the last few centuries, or even 
decades. Change is the only constant, and I for one am pleased at the 
diversity of world foods, music, and art that are now within walking 
distance of my house.


--Doug Fischer
Department of Geography
UC Santa Barbara

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