Folks --

Professor William Catton is Professor Emeritus in Sociology and Human 
Ecology at Washington State University.  In 1982 (isn't it hard to believe 
that was 1/4 century ago!) Professor Catton wrote "Overshoot:  The 
Ecological Basis of Revolutionary Change", which some people have said is 
among the most important books ever written.  Anyone can download and read a 
significant excerpt from this book at a website owned by Minnesotans for 
Sustainability at:

http://www.mnforsustain.org/catton_excerpt_overshoot_1982.htm


In this book, Professor Catton describes Homo sapiens as transitioning 
through a high energy lifestyle into Homo colossus, a detrivore living on 
the accumulated detritus of ancient planetary history, and destined to crash 
after blooming like a wine yeast in a vat full of grape detritus.  He 
describes our "Age of Exhuberance", which is over.  It is not a pretty 
picture, and should not be made to appear so.  Here is an example of the 
ugliness of our predicament according to this document:

"It was thus becoming apparent that nature must, in the not far distant 
future, institute bankruptcy proceedings against industrial civilization, 
and perhaps against the standing crop of human flesh, just as nature has 
done many times to other detritus-consuming species following their 
exhuberant expansion in response to the savings deposits their ecosystems 
had accumulated before they got the opportunity to begin the drawdown."

In variious other writings, Professor Catton discussed the denial of humans 
to their self-inflicted predicament.

Man as a detrivore in a bloom and crash scenario is a novel way to look at 
it.   I think ecologists would find his discussion of "phantom carrying 
capacity" and other concepts of interest.  Just yesterday I heard on the 
radio mention of the quandary the Chinese will have moving forward, holding 
20% of the world's population with well under 10% of the world's arable 
land, and losing arable land relentlessly  due to human-induced land 
degradation as well as global climate change.
Sounds like a formula for a crash, even though their standard of living is 
miniscule (still) compared to ours.

Maybe denial is the way to stay sane until the very end.  Catton describes 
our predicament as unintentional and related to our normal desire for 
prosperity as follows:

"No group  of leaders conspired knowingly to turn us into detrivores.  Using 
the ecological paradigm to think about human history, we can see instead 
that the end of exhuberance was the summary result of all our separate and 
innocent decisions to have a baby, to trade a horse for a tractor, to avoid 
illness by getting vaccinated, to move from a farm to a city, to live in a 
heated home, to buy a family automobile and not depend on public transit, to 
specialize, exchange and thereby prosper."

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