All:

With respect to the general subject and not with respect to this 
particular line of discussion (except tangential, as there is not 
enough information presented to understand the scope of the research, 
just what is expected to be determined thereby), I have long wondered 
if such trials are too trying--if there are not too many variables 
possibly affecting outcomes to prove much (unless a large number of 
repetitions are performed).  For example, interacting problems like 
genetic variation and "microsite" conditions, or even considering 
such factors in isolation (not that they should be).

Of course, this leads to the central problem of ecosystem research, 
the endless array of variables.  If there is a black magic solution 
to this, I would like to see it discussed here.  Personally, I don't 
think of field trials as being of more than very limited usefulness 
in gaining, directly, very deep understanding of ecosystems, and have 
found that there is a considerable risk that more can be made of 
"results" (especially of isolated, unreplicated ones) than can be 
demonstrated, and thus mislead researchers and others (e.g., paper 
researchers--like me, for example) who place confidence in them.  But 
that's another tangent . . .  I have found that they do teach great 
lessons about how difficult ecosystem research is--unless one jumps 
to to the conclusion that ones hypothesis has been demonstrated, nay, 
proved, and that a Nobel Prize is in the bag.  But having Nature slap 
me up 'side the head so many times has been of far greater value than 
all the enshrined certainty that has come my way.

I suspect that much of the field trial work being done today has its 
roots in agricultural research (a poor model indeed), and that field 
research in ecology needs more than a bit of re-thinking--if that 
suspicion remains more true than untrue.  I look forward to having my 
suspicions laid to rest.

WT

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